Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $370.7700 (0.52%) ($370.7700 - $372.8100) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $370.7700(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    SPY(60%)    IWF(59%)    DIA(57%)    QQQ(57%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-17%)    TBT(-7%)    VXX(-5%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $366.45(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $363.97(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $355.27(4.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $163.703b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 3.23% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.33%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.72%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -3.18%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.14%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.91%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2021	356.34	355.27	363.97	366.45	366.95	370.06	370.77(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	208	60	217	179	1.71	50%	0.04	84.8	1.22%	1.1	1.4	74	1.8
2	Apr_15_2021	356.19	352.98	362.41	364.97	365.35	365.9	368.84(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	128	10	123	141	1.46	50%	-0.05	72.4	1.23%	0.5	1.3	75	1.8
3	Apr_14_2021	356.38	351.02	360.89	363.55	364.01	363.84	363.1(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	0	-29	91	1.09	48%	-0.06	69.3	1.22%	0.4	0.9	78	1.4
4	Apr_13_2021	356.61	349.25	359.62	362.75	363.7	364.81	364.72(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	82	30	64	136	1.43	48%	-0.05	68.2	1.23%	-2.4	1.1	78	1.7
5	Apr_12_2021	356.79	347.49	358.77	361.87	362.3	364.18	364.8(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	115	40	96	173	1.47	48%	-0.05	72.8	1.23%	1.9	1.3	81	1.8

6	Apr_9_2021	356.96	345.79	357.3	361.11	361.15	362.6	363.4(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	132	30	108	202	1.23	46%	-0.06	78.4	1.24%	1	1.3	83	1.5
7	Apr_8_2021	357.18	344.05	355.67	359.46	360.64	360.41	361.72(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	109	10	75	211	2.36	46%	-0.06	80.6	1.24%	-0.2	1.3	84	1.5
8	Apr_7_2021	357.39	342.22	353.51	357.82	359	359.71	359.1(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	42	20	-5	184	1.42	46%	-0.07	79.4	1.24%	-1.3	1.3	75	1.4
9	Apr_6_2021	357.63	340.21	351.69	355.94	357.61	360.87	360.31(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	195	80	172	263	1.67	45%	-0.06	71.1	1.24%	0.3	1.5	77	1.2
10	Apr_5_2021	357.84	337.78	349.14	355.18	354.95	358.29	361(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	215	60	195	275	1.93	45%	-0.1	60.9	1.26%	1.2	1.7	74	1.3

11	Apr_1_2021	358.21	335.59	345.91	352.99	353.73	354.35	355.15(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	173	20	149	243	2.33	43%	-0.05	54.3	1.24%	0.8	1.5	69	1.3
12	Mar_31_2021	358.4	333.78	342.85	351.34	352.45	351.61	353.55(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	35	-10	-8	164	1.99	43%	-0.04	48.5	1.25%	0.3	1.6	70	1.2
13	Mar_30_2021	358.53	332.22	340.4	348.48	350.83	353.1	349.67(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	94	70	65	180	2.12	43%	-0.04	39.1	1.24%	-0.4	1.5	70	1.2
14	Mar_29_2021	358.69	331.07	338.13	346.62	348.22	353.28	356.53(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	315	120	324	286	2.61	45%	-0.08	31.5	1.22%	1.5	2.4	81	1
15	Mar_26_2021	358.99	329.67	335.27	342.16	343.77	348.56	350.03(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	328	110	342	286	2.48	44%	-0.1	14.4	1.21%	1.4	2.2	82	1.4

16	Mar_25_2021	359.36	328.6	333.24	337.79	339.82	343.17	346.91(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	298	90	311	257	3.42	44%	-0.08	-11.9	1.22%	2.1	2.3	71	1.1
17	Mar_24_2021	359.66	327.84	331.32	333.11	335.09	338.99	339.25(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	211	100	215	197	2.49	41%	-0.09	-44	1.19%	0.7	1.5	66	1
18	Mar_23_2021	360	327.77	329.9	331.08	331.16	336.48	340.39(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	277	110	297	218	3.6	41%	-0.07	-60.8	1.19%	1.2	1.7	62	1.1
19	Mar_22_2021	360.25	327.7	327.7	328.38	328.76	331.19	334.22(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	257	60	283	178	3.05	38%	-0.07	-69.1	1.16%	1.4	0.8	53	1.9
20	Mar_19_2021	360.49	328.35	325.48	327.42	326.91	325.84	328.16(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-28	-30	-41	13	2.46	35%	-0.11	-62.6	1.13%	1.2	-0	46	1.6

21	Mar_18_2021	360.87	329.56	324.49	328.04	327.51	326.32	323.51(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-101	-30	-123	-33	2.22	32%	-0.12	-52.7	1.12%	-1.3	-0.5	42	1.2
22	Mar_17_2021	361.31	331.13	324.16	329.13	329.09	327.99	329.13(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-20	-27	-6	2.26	34%	-0.12	-45.9	1.11%	1	-0.2	43	2.1
23	Mar_16_2021	361.76	332.45	323.57	328.41	329.06	328.7	326.9(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-0	-49	-47	2.73	34%	-0.13	-45.8	1.1%	-1.2	-0.4	36	1.9
24	Mar_15_2021	362.22	333.74	323.63	326.74	328.72	330.19	329.39(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	100	50	137	-10	2.84	34%	-0.13	-50.5	1.1%	-0.1	-0.3	36	2.4
25	Mar_12_2021	362.68	334.84	323.7	323.1	325.72	329.42	331.25(0.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	175	100	243	-31	3.18	34%		-56.8	1.09%	1.1	-0.3	32	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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