Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 27, 2020

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $388.4750 (0.2%) ($387.7500 - $390.6700) on Fri. Nov. 27, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $388.4750(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(59%)    SPY(59%)    IWF(58%)    QQQ(57%)    DIA(55%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-16%)    EDOC(-9%)    TBT(-7%)    VXX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV -2.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $384.7(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $383.2(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $377.93(2.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $171.521b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 43 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(58%) Sample size 43 Average positive next three day return: 1.72%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.77%(42%) Sample size 43 Average positive next weekly return: 2.26%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.91%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_27_2020	353.07	377.93	383.2	384.7	385.45	388.08	388.48(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	129	50	132	120	1.32	55%	0.28	46.9	1.36%	-2.4	1.2	51	1.1
2	Nov_25_2020	352.07	376.75	381.94	383.76	383.79	385.58	387.69(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	123	30	129	104	1.98	55%	0.2	37.6	1.35%	1.4	1.3	50	1.3
3	Nov_24_2020	351.36	375.61	380.49	382.7	382.75	382.83	384.28(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	0	34	58	2.06	55%	0.21	28.8	1.35%	1.8	1.1	58	1.1
4	Nov_23_2020	350.63	374.99	378.79	382.2	382.7	382	381.94(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-18	-10	-32	23	1.68	55%	0.09	24.8	1.35%	-0.8	0.9	59	1.1
5	Nov_20_2020	350.31	374.4	377.19	381.81	383.11	382.66	381.12(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	0	-10	31	1.81	56%	0.22	21.4	1.35%	-1.3	0.9	65	1.2

6	Nov_19_2020	349.55	374.02	377.47	381.37	382.44	383.39	383.77(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	30	28	74	1.77	56%	0.23	16.5	1.35%	-0.7	1.3	71	1.3
7	Nov_18_2020	348.75	373.55	377.48	379.78	381.2	383.55	382.4(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	127	50	127	127	2.13	56%	0.23	10.6	1.35%	0.2	1.2	62	1.3
8	Nov_17_2020	347.96	373.24	376.77	377.9	379.25	381.5	381.79(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	166	50	173	146	3.29	57%	0.24	3.1	1.35%	0.6	1.2	62	1.6
9	Nov_16_2020	347.14	372.99	375.79	374.84	376.44	378.85	379.96(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	145	60	154	119	1.72	57%	0.24	-10.6	1.35%	0.8	1	54	1.6
10	Nov_13_2020	346.3	372.72	374.26	371.84	373.13	377.01	378.94(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	131	80	145	89	1.27	57%	0.23	-22.6	1.35%	1.6	0.9	55	1.5

11	Nov_12_2020	345.51	372.72	372.23	373.11	371.35	374.03	375.83(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	109	40	121	71	1.53	58%	0.23	-10.6	1.35%	0.8	0.4	51	1.1
12	Nov_11_2020	344.72	372.77	371.15	375.03	373.53	369.24	372.99(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-34	-90	-47	5	1.69	55%	0.21	4.2	1.36%	0.3	0	48	1.8
13	Nov_10_2020	344	373.02	370.38	375.59	376.53	368.66	366.47(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-331	-140	-393	-143	2.67	54%	0.2	15.9	1.38%	-1.1	-0.9	43	1.7
14	Nov_9_2020	343.33	373.73	371.02	376.72	379.16	377.81	364.99(-5.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-202	-10	-242	-81	4.36	54%	0.19	35.1	1.38%	-2.9	-1.2	41	1.4
15	Nov_6_2020	342.67	374.33	371.66	376.52	379.33	384.4	385.28(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	270	120	315	136	1.96	61%	0.25	47	1.21%	1	1.6	57	1.7

16	Nov_5_2020	341.8	373.5	370.36	370.98	374.09	380.51	385.42(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	360	150	435	134	2.25	61%	0.25	35.6	1.21%	1.2	1.8	50	1
17	Nov_4_2020	340.94	372.47	369.16	366.85	367.7	374.27	375.77(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	290	130	363	71	2.45	62%	0.22	24.3	1.18%	0.8	0.5	48	0.8
18	Nov_3_2020	340.18	371.86	369.2	364.69	364.83	367.67	372.14(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	229	60	295	29	2.01	62%	0.22	19	1.23%	1.3	0	43	-0.6
19	Nov_2_2020	339.43	371.25	369.69	364.79	363.59	361.14	364.01(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-104	-60	-94	-132	1.64	61%	0.19	22.2	1.21%	0.3	-1	33	-1.4
20	Oct_30_2020	338.77	371.09	370.88	366.13	365.74	361.98	357.54(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-241	-80	-257	-191	2.72	59%	0.17	30.6	1.19%	-1.7	-1.7	32	-1.7

21	Oct_29_2020	338.2	371.12	373.34	369.48	368.59	366.03	364.77(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-200	-60	-220	-140	1.83	62%	0.17	50.2	1.16%	-0.5	-0.8	48	-1.4
22	Oct_28_2020	337.62	370.91	374.61	371.68	370.93	369.5	365(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-124	-30	-139	-77	1.91	62%	0.18	60.9	1.16%	-1.1	-0.7	53	-2.6
23	Oct_27_2020	337.02	370.53	376.04	374.23	373.11	371.14	372.62(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-81	-50	-100	-23	1.52	65%	0.2	69.6	1.13%	0.4	0.2	64	-0.5
24	Oct_26_2020	336.36	369.59	376.85	375.37	374.67	372.35	370.73(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-142	-50	-183	-18	2.14	65%	0.18	71.5	1.13%	-1.1	0.1	67	-0.4
25	Oct_23_2020	335.76	368.63	377.48	376.37	376.83	375.08	374.27(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-72	-30	-110	44	1.11	65%		70.4	1.12%	-0.8	0.5	71	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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