Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: COF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Feb. 25, 2021)

(Capital One Financial Corporation)
COF latest price $119.2400 (-4.21%) ($118.8800 - $125.7050) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $6.25 (5.41% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.3% (StdDev 2.24%)
Daily Moving Force   0.2%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.62%
Trend Strength   3.9%
RSI   67
Momentum   2.4
Latest Price   $119.2400(-4.21%)
Forecasted Low Price   118.52(-0.6%)
Forecasted High Price   123.06(3.2%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.2%)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   0.5%
Hourly Trend -0.2% [$123.04(-0.24), $122.48(0.8)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   9
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   COF advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COF advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COF advance at 0.2% a week (61% probability)
JETS(67%)    HYG(62%)    XLI(61%)    XLF(59%)    IVE(57%)
Factors Impacting COF price   COF will decline at least -2.6% in a week (40% probabilities).
CNCR(-61%)    VXX(-32%)    VIXM(-26%)    XRT(-13%)    ROBT(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 1.1

Relative Volatility 0.8 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   -2.1% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend -5%

Next Day Open Price   $118.79(-0.38%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Support Level   $115.51
5 Day Moving Average   $121.68(-2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.01(-0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.51(3.23%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   39.2%
Market Cap   $54.413b

Option Sentiment

Earning Release Date   Tue. Jan. 26, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price   $94.84 ($77.00 - $133.00)
  20 analysts (last updated on Mon. Nov. 16, 2020)
% to Average Target Price   -20.46%
% to Low Target Price   -35.42%
% to High Target Price   11.54%

Capital One Financial Corp. is a financial holding company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment offers domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card lending businesses. The Consumer Banking segment consists of branch-based lending and deposit gathering activities for consumers and small businesses. The Commercial Banking segment comprises of lending, deposit gathering and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. The company was founded by Richard D. Fairbank on July 21, 1994 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. COF price fluctuates within 5.41% (three month std-dev: 2.24% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. COF price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Feb_25_2021	115.51 (0.8%)	120.01 (0.6%)	121.68 (0.4%)	122.48	123.04(0%)	119.24(-4.21%)	118.88-125.71	1.2(0.6)	-1.3	0.2%	0.3%	0%	0.62%	3.9%	67	2.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.6%)	9	1.1	0.5	Uptrend	121.76(2.11%)	118.59-123.11	4.07	-4.2%-39.2%
2	Feb_24_2021	114.72 (0.8%)	119.87 (0.6%)	121.24 (0.9%)	121.68	123.28(0%)	124.48(1.58%)	122.35-125.75	1.3(1.4)	2.8	1.2%	0.8%	0%	0.7%	4.5%	87	2.7	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2%)	9	1.6	1.1	Uptrend	127.52(2.44%)	122.65-129.61	3.31	0%-45.4%
3	Feb_23_2021	113.51 (0.6%)	119 (0.8%)	120.12 (0.5%)	120	121.92(0%)	122.54(-0.03%)	120.45-124.43	1.2(1.3)	2.1	1.1%	0.7%	0%	0.7%	4.8%	87	2.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.8%)	9	1.6	1.5	Uptrend	125.48(2.4%)	120.83-127.47	2.85	-0%-43.1%
4	Feb_22_2021	112.51 (0.4%)	118.33 (1%)	119.57 (0.8%)	119.11	120.08(0%)	122.58(2.53%)	119.12-123.03	1.3(1.4)	1.5	1.1%	0.7%	0%	0.8%	5.2%	89	2.7	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.8%)	9	1.8	1.7	Uptrend	125.75(2.59%)	120.67-127.93	2.79	0%-43.1%
5	Feb_19_2021	111.62 (0.4%)	117.51 (1%)	118.61 (0.4%)	118.49	118.08(0%)	119.56(2.17%)	117.93-120.42	1.2(1.2)	1.1	0.2%	0.6%	0%	0.82%	5.3%	82	2.6	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.8%)	9	1.4	1.9	Uptrend	122.61(2.55%)	117.94-124.61	2.99	-0.2%-43%

6	Feb_18_2021	111.03 (0.4%)	116.84 (1.2%)	118.13 (-0.1%)	118.08	118.14(0%)	117.02(-1.59%)	115.31-118.29	1.3(0.9)	-0.6	-0.4%	0.6%	0%	0.86%	5.2%	71	2.5	Correction	Range(1%)	10	0.9	1.9	Uptrend	120.05(2.59%)	116-121.79	2.35	-2.3%-40%
7	Feb_17_2021	110.71 (0.4%)	115.95 (1.2%)	118.25 (0.5%)	118.15	118.9(0%)	118.91(-0.74%)	117.72-120.98	1.4(1.3)	0.9	0.6%	0.8%	0%	0.96%	4.7%	80	2.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.8%)	10	1.2	2.1	Uptrend	122.25(2.81%)	117.39-124.33	3.09	-0.7%-42.3%
8	Feb_16_2021	110.35 (0.4%)	114.72 (1.4%)	117.65 (0.7%)	117.66	118.01(0%)	119.8(1.74%)	116.44-120.56	1.5(1.6)	1.9	0.6%	1.1%	0%	1.02%	4%	84	2.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	9	1.5	2	Uptrend	123.15(2.8%)	118-125.36	3.98	0%-43.3%
9	Feb_12_2021	109.91 (0.4%)	113.07 (1.4%)	116.89 (0.6%)	116.96	117.4(0%)	117.75(0.5%)	116.59-118.73	1.4(1.4)	2.7	0.3%	0.9%	0%	1%	2.9%	74	2.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.2%)	8	1	2.1	Uptrend	120.73(2.53%)	116.39-122.58	2.5	0%-40.9%
10	Feb_11_2021	109.67 (0.4%)	111.75 (1.2%)	116.24 (0.8%)	116.52	117.3(0%)	117.16(-0.39%)	115.75-118.43	1.5(1.4)	2.1	0.7%	0.7%	0%	0.96%	1.9%	67	2.1	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.6%)	8	1.1	2.2	Uptrend	120.03(2.45%)	115.85-121.82	3.22	-0.4%-40.2%

11	Feb_10_2021	109.36 (0.4%)	110.69 (1.2%)	115.34 (1.8%)	115.8	116.53(0%)	117.62(1.46%)	116.1-118.4	1.4(1.6)	4.4	1.1%	1.1%	0%	0.9%	1.2%	60	2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.2%)	8	1.3	2.2	Growing Uptrend	120.93(2.81%)	116.22-122.09	3.92	0%-40.7%
12	Feb_9_2021	108.96 (0.2%)	109.17 (0.8%)	113.26 (1.8%)	114.08	115.74(0%)	115.93(-0.06%)	114.27-117.4	1.2(1.4)	4.3	1.2%	1.1%	0%	0.66%	0.2%	54	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.3%)	7	1	2	Growing Uptrend	118.18(1.94%)	114.77-119.03	4.07	-0.1%-38.7%
13	Feb_8_2021	108.59 (0.2%)	107.57 (0.4%)	111.28 (2.4%)	111.77	115.08(0%)	116(1.33%)	114.8-116.91	0.9(1.6)	4	2.3%	1%	0%	0.36%	-0.9%	51	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(3.3%)	6	1	1.8	Uptrend	116.84(0.72%)	114.77-117.72	3.39	0%-38.8%
14	Feb_5_2021	108.27 (0.2%)	106.17 (-0%)	108.65 (1.9%)	109.16	112.42(0%)	114.48(1.62%)	113.4-115.53	0.4(1.4)	1.8	2.8%	0.7%	0%	0.04%	-1.9%	50	1.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(3.5%)	5	1	1.7	N/A	113.32(-1.01%)	111.07-115.16	3.92	0%-47.2%
15	Feb_4_2021	108.03 (0.2%)	105.16 (-0.4%)	106.61 (1.1%)	106.58	108.47(0%)	112.66(5.08%)	107.86-112.95	-0.1(1.1)	2.4	1.8%	0.4%	0%	-0.22%	-2.7%	45	1.4	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(2.2%)	4	0.7	1.5	Downtrend	112.11(-0.49%)	112.23-111.8	5.82	-1.5%-49.1%

16	Feb_3_2021	107.74 (0.2%)	104.62 (-0.6%)	105.44 (0.9%)	105.27	105.9(0%)	107.21(1.1%)	105.57-107.55	-0.4(-0.1)	1.2	0.8%	-0.1%	0%	-0.34%	-2.9%	42	1.3	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.7%)	3	-0.2	1.7	Downtrend	106.82(-0.36%)	106.62-107.31	3.95	-6.3%-41.9%
17	Feb_2_2021	107.44 (0.2%)	104.94 (-0.8%)	104.5 (1.2%)	105.05	104.69(0%)	106.04(3.09%)	103.68-107.29	-0.5(-0.3)	1.2	0.4%	-0.3%	0%	-0.42%	-2.3%	43	1.4	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	2	-0.4	1.4	Downtrend	105.51(-0.5%)	105.19-106.25	4.62	-7.3%-40.4%
18	Feb_1_2021	107.09 (0.2%)	105.53 (-0.8%)	103.28 (0.1%)	104.67	104.64(0%)	102.86(-1.34%)	102.57-105.97	-0.6(-0.9)	-0.4	-0.2%	-0.6%	0%	-0.48%	-1.5%	41	1.6	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.1%)	3	-0.8	1.1	Correction	98.53(-4.21%)	97.79-101.48	3.66	-10.1%-36.1%
19	Jan_29_2021	106.95 (0.2%)	106.46 (-0.8%)	103.21 (-0.2%)	104	105.42(0%)	104.26(-2.41%)	103.39-107.49	-0.5(-0.6)	0.1	0.5%	-0.6%	0%	-0.48%	-0.5%	41	1.6	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(1.1%)	4	0.1	0.2	Correction	99.84(-4.24%)	99.09-102.85	3.54	-8.9%-42.7%
20	Jan_28_2021	106.7 (0.2%)	107.43 (-0.8%)	103.43 (-0.3%)	103.43	104.7(0%)	106.84(4.23%)	103.04-108.41	-0.5(0)	1.1	0.9%	-0.2%	0%	-0.42%	0.7%	43	1.8	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.7%)	4	0.2	0.6	Correction	105.97(-0.81%)	106.32-105.55	4.66	-6.6%-48.2%

21	Jan_27_2021	106.22 (0.2%)	107.92 (-0.6%)	103.77 (-1.7%)	103.49	102.57(0%)	102.5(2.57%)	100.88-108.22	-0.5(-0.7)	-2.1	-0.5%	-0.5%	0%	-0.34%	1.6%	44	1.9	Downtrend Pop	Range(-1%)	4	-0.4	0.9	Correction	97.96(-4.43%)	97.15-101.16	7.59	-10.4%-42.2%
22	Jan_26_2021	106.04 (0.4%)	108.79 (-0.2%)	105.54 (-2.4%)	104.86	102.17(0%)	99.93(-2.54%)	99.82-103	-0.2(-1)	-3.6	-2.4%	-0.7%	0%	-0.06%	2.6%	55	2	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-1.8%)	4	-1.4	1.5	Correction	96.68(-3.25%)	96-99.37	4.22	-12.6%-38.7%
23	Jan_25_2021	105.98 (0.6%)	109.84 (0.2%)	108.13 (-1.8%)	107.61	104.41(0%)	102.53(-2.67%)	100.65-104.44	0.3(-0.6)	-2.2	-2.6%	-0.5%	0%	0.32%	3.6%	63	2.1	Downtrend Reversal	Lower(-1.8%)	5	-1	2.2	Uptrend Consolidation	103.39(0.84%)	103.42-103.32	3.7	-10.4%-42.3%
24	Jan_22_2021	105.76 (0.8%)	110.72 (0.6%)	110.13 (-1.6%)	110.29	107.55(0%)	105.34(-2.95%)	103.83-107.41	0.7(-0.1)	-1.9	-2.3%	-0.3%	0%	0.64%	4.7%	66	2.1	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-1.1%)	6	-0.3	2.1	Uptrend Consolidation	105.52(0.17%)	105.03-106.99	5.43	-7.9%-46.2%
25	Jan_21_2021	105.3 (1%)	111.33 (1%)	111.94 (-0.6%)	111.91	110.8(0%)	108.54(-2.55%)	106.85-110.99	1.1(0.5)	-1.2	-1.4%	0.2%	0%	1%	5.7%	73	2.3	Confirmed Correction	Range(0.1%)	7	0.3	2.4	Uptrend Consolidation	108.31(-0.21%)	107.19-111.69	6.25	-5.1%-50.6%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low