Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Caterpillar)
CAT latest price $233.3600 (0.36%) ($232.2500 - $235.9400) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $233.3600(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CAT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CAT advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(63%)    IFRA(57%)    IWD(57%)    DIA(56%)    IWN(56%)
Factors Impacting CAT price   CAT will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-27%)    TLT(-13%)    VXX(-9%)    SHY(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 1.3 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $231.75(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $231.49(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $229.54(1.66%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   29.1%
Market Cap   $126.366b

Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segments include activities such as; the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. CAT price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.92%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.23%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -10.92%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.66%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.69%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2021	202.66	229.54	231.49	231.75	232.27	233.25	233.36(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	40	54	24	2.08	63%	0.16	12.3	1.77%	1.3	0.9	62	1.8
2	Apr_15_2021	202.34	229.38	231.4	231.23	231.35	231.98	232.52(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	30	21	1.86	63%	0.3	21.6	1.78%	0.4	0.8	72	1.8
3	Apr_14_2021	201.73	229.39	231.31	230.82	230.84	231.28	232.58(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	10	25	30	2.49	63%	0.29	32.6	1.79%	1	0.8	76	1.4
4	Apr_13_2021	201.14	229.08	231.33	230.38	230.4	230.72	229.35(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	10	6	39	2.28	63%	0.28	40.7	1.79%	0.2	0.1	77	1.7
5	Apr_12_2021	200.57	229.14	231.45	230.64	230.5	230.41	230.93(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-0	-3	44	1.69	63%	0.31	52.8	1.79%	1.2	0.4	58	1.8

6	Apr_9_2021	199.95	229.03	231.34	231.2	231.04	230.08	230.75(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-13	-30	-32	44	2.47	63%	0.31	67.8	1.79%	0	0.4	59	1.5
7	Apr_8_2021	199.34	228.52	230.76	231.6	231.97	230.59	230.48(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-28	-40	-48	33	2.16	63%	0.31	71.9	1.8%	-0.2	0.4	49	1.5
8	Apr_7_2021	198.73	228.07	229.94	231.87	232.46	231.99	230.41(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-30	-10	-47	21	2.45	63%	0.31	76.8	1.8%	-1.4	0.5	45	1.4
9	Apr_6_2021	198.12	227.44	228.83	232.41	232.84	233.35	230.64(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	20	12	39	2.57	67%	0.31	73.3	1.8%	-0.9	0.6	55	1.2
10	Apr_5_2021	197.51	226.99	228.36	232.32	232.85	232.92	233.71(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	10	37	41	2.31	67%	0.48	74.2	1.91%	0.8	1.3	52	1.3

11	Apr_1_2021	196.57	226.31	227.48	231.48	231.67	232.34	232.74(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	12	21	3.77	67%	0.34	67.3	1.9%	-0.3	1.1	53	1.3
12	Mar_31_2021	195.91	225.34	227.17	229.78	230.69	232.78	231.87(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	92	80	103	58	4.5	67%	0.32	51.3	1.91%	0.4	1.1	62	1.2
13	Mar_30_2021	195.29	224.51	227.23	227.66	227.71	231	233.08(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	104	100	117	63	3.13	67%	0.33	35.5	1.91%	1.4	1.4	61	1.2
14	Mar_29_2021	194.64	223.64	226.5	224.69	225.16	228.6	230.22(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	127	110	148	64	2.89	67%	0.37	20	1.92%	1.1	1.1	63	1
15	Mar_26_2021	193.92	223.1	226.47	223.85	222.93	224.42	229.5(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	72	30	82	43	2.91	67%	0.36	17.7	1.91%	1.2	1.1	57	1.4

16	Mar_25_2021	193.23	222.41	226.36	223.01	222.46	221.73	224.25(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-15	-30	-22	6	2.9	65%	0.37	19.1	1.91%	0.8	0.3	55	1.1
17	Mar_24_2021	192.51	222.28	226	224.29	223.93	221.45	221.23(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-75	-80	-98	-5	4.18	65%	0.29	44	1.93%	-0.3	-0.2	60	1
18	Mar_23_2021	191.96	222.35	226.1	226.77	226.61	223.2	218.25(-3.44%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-96	-110	-131	11	4.01	65%	0.3	73.7	1.92%	-2.4	-0.7	55	1.1
19	Mar_22_2021	191.38	222.48	226.14	228.42	229.17	226.42	226.02(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-72	-70	-108	38	1.96	69%	0.37	98	1.86%	-0.5	0.6	61	1.9
20	Mar_19_2021	190.67	222.08	225.74	229.36	229.6	230.02	225.29(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-31	20	-64	68	7.46	69%	0.39	111.4	1.87%	-1.3	0.5	56	1.6

21	Mar_18_2021	189.93	221.35	225.28	230.1	230.18	231.92	230.68(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	131	50	122	158	4.33	72%	0.44	101.5	1.85%	0.1	1.2	64	1.2
22	Mar_17_2021	189.1	219.87	223.54	227.92	227.87	229.17	233.63(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	80	40	70	110	3.43	72%	0.42	89.3	1.84%	1.9	1.7	59	2.1
23	Mar_16_2021	188.31	218.31	221.62	225.4	225.51	228.44	226.46(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	94	90	95	91	3.54	71%	0.35	84.2	1.81%	0.1	1	53	1.9
24	Mar_15_2021	187.65	217.14	220.55	223.47	223.5	226.56	230.74(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	146	100	162	96	4.21	73%	0.34	81.6	1.8%	1.4	1.7	59	2.4
25	Mar_12_2021	187.01	215.52	219.33	221.64	220.96	222.58	229(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	72	40	79	51	4.62	73%		75.9	1.8%	2.2	1.6	60	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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