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     Fri. Feb. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: BND Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Thu. Apr. 15, 2021)

(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index ETF)

BND latest price $85.7800 (0.67%) ($85.7800 - $85.7850) on Fri. Feb. 26, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Bottom
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.6 (0.69% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.22% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.1% (StdDev 0.22%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.1%
Rebound Strength  None(0.1%)
Hourly Trend Strength  -0.21%
Trend   -0.14%
Trend Strength  -0.6%
Trend Clarity  -0.14(-0.1/0.6/86.61)
RSI   30
Momentum  3.1
Latest Price  $85.7800(0.67%)
Forecasted Low Price  85.61(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  85.95(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-0.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  0.5% ((86.21))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  0.5%
Hourly Trend   -0.1% [$85.49(-0.08), $85.73(-0.05)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  BND declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  BND declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support BND decline at-0.1% a week (94% probability)
  LQD(96%)    VCIT(94%)    TLT(90%)    TIP(89%)    CEMB(82%)  
Factors Impacting BND price  BND will advance at least -0% in a week (59% probabilities).
  TBT(-90%)    VXX(-49%)    VIXM(-44%)    XLF(-27%)    UUP(-21%)  
Trading Plan  Buy the bottom
 
Valuation to SPY   0.1
 
Relative Volatility   2.2 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.2% (StdDev 0.22%)
Hourly BBV   1.9 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $85.87(0.1%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $85.24(-0.63%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $86.61
5 Day Moving Average  $85.78(0%)
10 Day Moving Average  $86.13(-0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average  $86.61(-0.96%)
To recent high  -3.1%
To recent low  0.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. BND price fluctuates within 0.69% (three month std-dev: 0.22%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. BND price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210326

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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NextDayPriceRangeVolume
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To High-Low
1Feb_26_202186.61 (-0.2%)86.13 (-0.2%)85.78 (-0.1%) 85.73 85.49(0%)85.78(0.67%)85.78-85.79-2(-1.4)1.9 -0.1%-0.1%0.1%-0.21%-0.14%-0.6%303.1 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)00.10.4Bottom 85.79(0.01%)85.41-86.056.69   -3.1%-0.7% 
2Feb_25_202186.7 (-0%)86.25 (-0.2%)85.88 (-0.3%) 85.78 85.57(0%)85.21(-0.84%)85.21-85.21-2.1(-2.5)-2.5 -0.4%-0.2%0.3%-0.17%-0.12%-0.5%153.2 Breakdown  Range(0.1%)1-0.50.5Bottom 85.34(0.15%)84.83-85.679.26   -3.7%-0
3Feb_24_202186.82 (-0%)86.45 (-0.2%)86.15 (-0.2%) 86.05 85.96(0%)85.93(-0.08%)85.93-85.93-1.9(-1.8)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.1%-0.1%-0.4%193.2 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.2%)2-1.31.1Bottom 85.99(0.07%)85.65-86.234.66   -2.9%-0
4Feb_23_202186.91 (-0%)86.56 (-0%)86.28 (-0.1%) 86.2 86(0%)85.99(-0.03%)85.99-85.99-2(-2)-0.7 -0.2%-0.1%0.1%-0.15%-0.08%-0.4%193 N/A  Lower(-0.2%)3-0.81.5Downtrend 85.71(-0.32%)85.52-86.156.37   -2.8%-0
5Feb_22_202186.99 (-0%)86.67 (-0%)86.36 (-0.2%) 86.35 86.14(0%)86.02(-0.28%)86.02-86.02-2.1(-2.2)-1.6 -0.2%-0.1%0.2%-0.16%-0.08%-0.4%172.8 Breakdown  Range(0%)3-0.81.7Bottom 86.13(0.13%)85.8-86.354.7   -2.8%-0
 
6Feb_19_202187.06 (-0%)86.77 (-0%)86.53 (-0.2%) 86.45 86.41(0%)86.26(-0.35%)86.26-86.26-2(-2.1)-4.6 -0.2%-0.1%0.1%-0.08%-0.08%-0.3%182.4 Breakdown Downtrend Pop Range(-0%)3-1.21.9Bottom 86.35(0.1%)86.09-86.523.91   -2.5%-0
7Feb_18_202187.12 (-0%)86.86 (-0%)86.69 (-0.1%) 86.6 86.57(0%)86.56(-0.03%)86.56-86.56-1.9(-1.6)4.6 %-0.1%0%0%-0.06%-0.3%212.2 Rebound  Lower(-0.1%)3-1.21.9Bottom 86.61(0.06%)86.43-86.734.38   -2.2%-0.2% 
8Feb_17_202187.16 (-0%)86.91 (-0%)86.81 (-0.1%) 86.72 86.5(0%)86.58(0.19%)86.58-86.58-1.8(-1.8)1.7 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.15%-0.06%-0.3%192 N/A  Lower(-0.2%)3-1.42.1Downtrend 86.46(-0.14%)86.37-86.675.13   -2.1%-0.2% 
9Feb_16_202187.21 (-0%)86.98 (-0%)86.9 (-0.1%) 86.86 86.63(0%)86.42(-0.48%)86.42-86.42-1.7(-2.7)-2.7 -0.3%-0.1%0%-0.24%-0.06%-0.3%121.8 Breakdown  Lower(-0.2%)3-1.72Growing Downtrend 86.33(-0.1%)86.23-86.556.7   -2.3%-0
10Feb_12_202187.26 (-0%)87.08 (-0%)87.02 (-0%) 87.02 86.94(0%)86.84(-0.26%)86.84-86.84-1.4(-1.9)-0.4 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.1%-0.04%-0.2%181.6 N/A  Lower(-0.1%)3-1.82.1Downtrend 86.78(-0.07%)86.73-86.914.3   -1.9%-0
 
11Feb_11_202187.29 (-0%)87.13 (-0%)87.02 (0%) 87.07 87.1(0%)87.06(-0.09%)87.02-87.06-1.4(-1.2)0 %-0%0%0.01%-0.04%-0.2%351.3 Confirmed Rebound Downtrend Pop Range(0%)3-1.62.2Downtrend 87.02(-0.05%)86.97-87.114.58   -1.6%-0.1
12Feb_10_202187.29 (-0%)87.17 (-0%)87.05 (0%) 87.04 87.09(0%)87.14(0.11%)87.14-87.14-1.5(-0.9)0 %-0%0%0.02%-0.04%-0.2%391.3 Rebound  Range(0%)2-1.62.2Downtrend 87.09(-0.06%)87.05-87.173.66   -1.5%-0.2% 
13Feb_9_202187.31 (-0%)87.21 (-0%)87.04 (-0.1%) 87.03 87.04(0%)87.04(0.01%)87.04-87.04-1.7(-1.4)0 %-0%0%0.02%-0.04%-0.1%301.3 Rebound  Range(0%)2-1.82Relative Oversold 87.07(0.03%)86.9-87.24.34   -1.6%-0.1
14Feb_8_202187.32 (-0%)87.27 (-0%)87.08 (-0.1%) 87.05 87(0%)87.04(0.09%)87.04-87.04-1.7(-1.6)0 %-0%0%-0.01%-0.04%-0.1%301.1 N/A  Range(0%)2-2.11.8Relative Oversold 87.07(0.03%)86.91-87.25.46   -1.6%-0.1
15Feb_5_202187.33 (-0%)87.32 (-0%)87.14 (-0.1%) 87.09 87.03(0%)86.96(-0.16%)86.96-86.96-1.6(-2.2)0 -0.1%-0%0%-0.02%-0.04%-0%321.1 Breakdown  Range(-0%)3-1.91.7Growing Downtrend 86.93(-0.04%)86.88-87.034.4   -1.7%-0
 
16Feb_4_202187.35 (-0%)87.37 (-0%)87.24 (-0.1%) 87.19 87.1(0%)87.1(0%)87.1-87.1-1.2(-1.7)-1.4 -0.1%-0%0%-0.07%-0.02%0%451 N/A  Lower(-0.1%)3-1.61.5Downtrend 87.07(-0.03%)87.05-87.154.5   -1.6%-0
17Feb_3_202187.37 (-0%)87.4 (-0%)87.31 (-0.1%) 87.27 87.16(0%)87.1(-0.14%)87.1-87.1-0.9(-1.9)-2.3 -0.1%-0%0%-0.09%-0.02%0%380.8 N/A  Range(-0%)3-11.7Downtrend 87.08(-0.02%)87.06-87.154.15   -1.6%-0
18Feb_2_202187.41 (-0%)87.44 (0%)87.41 (-0.1%) 87.37 87.28(0%)87.22(-0.15%)87.22-87.22-0.5(-1.1)-3.1 -0.1%-0%0%-0.07%-0%0%561 Correction  Range(-0%)4-0.81.4N/A 87.26(0.05%)87.19-87.324.35   -1.4%-0.1
19Feb_1_202187.45 (-0%)87.46 (0%)87.48 (-0.1%) 87.46 87.39(0%)87.35(-0.1%)87.35-87.35-0.2(-0.5)-4.2 -0.1%-0%0%-0.07%0%0%591.3 Confirmed Correction  Range(-0.1%)50.31.1N/A 87.38(0.04%)87.35-87.425.19   -1.3%-0.3% 
20Jan_29_202187.49 (-0%)87.47 (0%)87.53 (0%) 87.51 87.45(0%)87.44(-0.03%)87.44-87.44-0.1(-0.2)-5.1 -0.1%0%0%-0.08%0.02%-0%581.3 N/A  Range(-0.1%)61.20.2N/A 87.47(0.04%)87.47-87.475.23   -1.2%-0.4% 
 
21Jan_28_202187.52 (-0%)87.47 (0%)87.52 (0%) 87.54 87.53(0%)87.47(-0.14%)87.47-87.47-0.1(-0.2)-5.7 %-0%0%-0.03%0.02%-0.1%521.5 N/A  Range(0.1%)7-0.10.6N/A 87.51(0.05%)87.51-87.514.27   -1.1%-0.4% 
22Jan_27_202187.55 (-0%)87.45 (0%)87.5 (0%) 87.52 87.57(0%)87.59(0%)87.59-87.59-0.2(0.1)4.3 %0%0%0.05%0%-0.1%511.7 N/A  Range(0%)80.50.9Uptrend Reversal 87.69(0.11%)87.61-87.744.12   -1%-0.5% 
23Jan_26_202187.56 (-0%)87.41 (0%)87.47 (0%) 87.47 87.56(0%)87.59(0.03%)87.5-87.59-0.3(0.1)5 0.1%0%0%0.08%-0%-0.2%371.7 N/A  Range(0.1%)7-11.5Rebound 87.56(-0.03%)87.57-87.564.61   -1%-0.5% 
24Jan_25_202187.58 (-0%)87.36 (-0%)87.45 (0.1%) 87.44 87.47(0%)87.56(0.19%)87.56-87.56-0.5(-0.1)5.7 0.1%0%0%0.07%-0.02%-0.2%341.8 N/A  Range(0.1%)6-1.22.2Rebound 87.56(0%)87.49-87.594.86   -1%-0.5% 
25Jan_22_202187.6 (-0%)87.33 (-0%)87.41 (0%) 87.42 87.38(0%)87.39(0.02%)87.39-87.39-0.7(-0.6)0 %-0%0%-0.02%-0.04%-0.3%261.8 N/A  Range(0%)5-1.22.1After Bottom 87.38(-0.01%)87.21-87.523.6   -1.2%-0.3% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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