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     Fri. Dec. 22, 2023

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)

BABA latest price $75.3200 (-1.23%) ($74.4400 - $75.6800) on Fri. Dec. 22, 2023.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.96% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $75.3200(-1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  BABA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  BABA advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  FXI(91%)    KWEB(90%)    MCHI(90%)    IWO(85%)    BOTZ(81%)  
Factors Impacting BABA price  BABA will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-36%)    SHY(-27%)    TIP(-11%)    LQD(-4%)    VCSH(-1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $74.83(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average  $73.64(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average  $73.71(2.18%)
To recent high  -14.7%
To recent low  5.5%
Market Cap  $202.063b
 
 
 
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 2.79% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11   Average positive next day return: 1.48%(55%)   Average negative next day return: -1.46%(45%)
Sample size 11   Average positive next three day return: 4.59%(36%)   Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(64%)
Sample size 11   Average positive next weekly return: 3.03%(45%)   Average negative next weekly return: -4.1%(55%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20240122

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Dec_22_202384.1373.7173.6474.83 74.89 75.2275.32(-1.23%)UDOpenLong750.2   30   30   18   65   12.63    57%-0.27-37.31.96%00.8571.4
2Dec_21_202384.3673.8473.3174.67 74.59 74.7876.26(3.97%)UTOpenLong750.8   28   10   19   53   20.74    57%-0.22-40.62.06%1.51.2560.6
3Dec_20_202384.5573.9372.8973.92 74.31 74.5773.35(-2.71%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   19   40   16   27   27.49    54%-0.32-61.22.01%-1.5-0.3420.3
4Dec_19_202384.8274.1972.7173.54 73.85 74.475.39(2.1%)UTOpenLong750.7   30   60   35   15   20.87    57%-0.32-68.71.99%1.30.5500.7
5Dec_18_202385.0974.3272.3872.74 72.83 74.0573.84(-0.9%)N/AN/A00.4   21   120   35   -20   17.12    55%-0.32-79.61.97%0-0.2340.8
 
6Dec_15_202385.3674.4972.2772.25 72.24 73.2974.51(2.76%)RBSmallLong200.8   38   100   63   -38   31.26    55%-0.25-90.61.97%1.10330.8
7Dec_14_202385.5774.772.1871.77 71.36 71.6172.51(1.47%)DPOpenShort-650.3   -13   10   12   -89   25.14    52%-0.29-95.41.93%1.2-0.7191.6
8Dec_13_202385.8275.3872.3871.77 71.33 71.271.46(0.1%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -30   -30   -2   -112   21.56    52%-0.28-70.51.92%0.3-1111.4
9Dec_12_202386.0675.9872.6971.74 71.56 71.1271.39(0.03%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -44   -50   -14   -134   14.66    52%-0.29-68.21.92%-0.5-1.1111.6
10Dec_11_202386.3176.5273.2171.94 71.73 71.4671.37(-1.07%)DTHoldShort-65-0.1   -54   -40   -25   -142   19.7    52%-0.24-70.11.92%-1-1.2151.4
 
11Dec_8_202386.5277.0973.872.27 72.09 72.0172.14(-0.26%)DTHoldShort-65-0   -38   -20   -8   -129   16.87    52%-0.23-71.31.93%0.4-1.2241.2
12Dec_7_202386.7277.6274.4272.64 72.31 7272.33(1.17%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -45   -40   -17   -129   18.92    46%-0.23-70.81.93%0.2-1.3211
13Dec_6_202386.9278.2475.0673.15 72.64 72.1771.49(-1.23%)DTHoldShort-65-0.4   -60   -70   -30   -148   30.34    46%-0.23-65.31.99%-1.6-1.691.2
14Dec_5_202387.1278.9475.8173.79 73.27 72.6272.38(-0.89%)DTHoldShort-65-0.3   -64   -80   -34   -155   19.02    46%-0.24-60.31.99%-0.7-1.6241.3
15Dec_4_202387.3379.5976.4474.66 73.93 73.1173.03(-1.3%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -73   -110   -45   -155   21    46%-0.25-54.51.99%-1-1.6311.4
 
16Dec_1_202387.5580.2276.9375.56 74.77 73.9273.99(-1.19%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -77   -110   -50   -157   27.94    46%-0.26-48.52%-0.2-1.6311.3
17Nov_30_202387.7880.7177.4676.46 75.92 74.7474.88(0.28%)DPOpenShort-75-0.4   -73   -130   -47   -151   17.82    46%-0.22-44.52.01%-0.6-1.6331.4
18Nov_29_202387.9781.1278.6277.28 76.9 75.6274.67(-2.7%)DTOpenShort-75-0.8   -81   -130   -63   -136   30.89    46%-0.19-40.12.01%-1.3-1.9291.3
19Nov_28_202388.1481.5479.5378.13 77.94 77.176.74(-1.02%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -58   -80   -39   -115   23.63    52%-0.16-38.32.01%-0.8-1.6301.5
20Nov_27_202388.2881.8880.178.48 78.45 78.1877.53(-1.22%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -38   -30   -14   -108   18.2    52%-0.15-342.04%-1.2-1.5321.3
 
21Nov_24_202388.4182.1780.6378.49 78.4 78.7778.49(-0.6%)DPOpenShort-650   -25   30   4   -110   12.25    52%-0.02-31.92.04%0-1.4331.4
22Nov_22_202388.4382.3981.0678.61 78.14 78.7178.96(0.03%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -33   30   -5   -115   18.95    52%-0.1-31.72.04%0.6-1.4411.2
23Nov_21_202388.5282.5281.6380.24 78.26 78.0378.94(0.61%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -47   -90   -32   -90   20.48    52%-0.06-18.62.04%1.4-1.5441.3
24Nov_20_202388.5782.7482.2881.22 80.39 77.5678.46(1.11%)DPOpenShort-75-1.2   -58   -280   -53   -71   31.5    52%-0.06-9.72.04%0.3-1.9431.4
25Nov_17_202388.6282.8882.9981.98 81.81 78.4977.6(-1.91%)DTOpenShort-75-2   -131   -290   -146   -87   35.48    49%-8.32.06%-0.8-2.4391.5
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
 
 
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