Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 26, 2021

Trading Signals: BABA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Sep. 19, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

( Alibaba Group Holding Limited)
BABA latest price $237.7600 (-1.01%) ($237.6400 - $244.9000) on Fri. Feb. 26, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $237.7600(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   BABA declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   BABA declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support BABA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(73%)    MCHI(70%)    FXI(68%)    EEM(60%)    VWO(60%)
Factors Impacting BABA price   BABA will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-19%)    VXX(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    UNG(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

Resistance Level   $260.08
5 Day Moving Average   $247.01(-3.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $256.56(-7.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $260.08(-8.58%)
To recent high   -14%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $637.844b

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. engages in providing online and mobile marketplaces in retail and wholesale trade. It operates through the following business segments: Core Commerce; Cloud Computing; Digital Media and Entertainment; and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The Core Commerce segment comprises of platforms operating in retail and wholesale. The Cloud Computing segment consists of Alibaba Cloud, which offers elastic computing, database, storage and content delivery network, large scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, a machine learning platform, and other services provide for enterprises of different sizes across various industries. The Digital Media and Entertainment segment relates to the Youko Tudou and UC Browser business. The Innovation Initiatives and Others segment includes businesses such as AutoNavi, DingTalk, Tmall Genie, and others. The company was founded by Chung Tsai and Yun Ma on June 28, 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

$. BABA price fluctuates within 3.61% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.19%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.81%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.73%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.26%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.85%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2021	267.06	260.08	256.56	247.01	246.49	243.22	237.76(-1.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-129	-100	-129	-130	17.41	50%	-0.24	-42.7	2.98%	-1.3	-2.4	22	0.5
2	Feb_25_2021	267.71	261.36	259.79	252.17	250.22	247.88	240.18(-4.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-94	-90	-94	-94	17.82	50%	-0.22	-33.3	3.01%	-2.2	-2.7	23	0.2
3	Feb_24_2021	268.3	262.51	262.73	257.04	255.3	249.76	250.34(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-88	-170	-93	-72	12.72	55%	-0.16	-24.8	2.97%	-0.4	-2	36	1.4
4	Feb_23_2021	268.74	263.34	264.46	261.14	258.77	252.57	252.75(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-173	-190	-201	-90	15.93	55%	-0.14	4.3	3%	-0.4	-1.9	53	1.3
5	Feb_22_2021	269.11	263.84	265.61	264.73	264.14	260.84	254(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-96	-90	-114	-41	14.33	55%	-0.13	41.5	3%	-1.6	-2	43	1.1

6	Feb_19_2021	269.47	264.16	266.92	267.5	267.98	264.98	263.59(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-37	-70	-50	4	11.71	60%	-0.1	78.2	3.01%	-1	-0.1	61	1.5
7	Feb_18_2021	269.74	264	267.3	268.56	268.67	267.44	264.51(-2.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-54	-30	-73	4	12.84	60%	-0.11	109	3.02%	-1	0.1	54	1.3
8	Feb_17_2021	270.05	264.04	267.26	269.22	269.99	270.98	270.83(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	30	26	50	13.03	60%	-0.02	153.4	3%	-0.1	1.4	59	1.4
9	Feb_16_2021	270.11	263.1	265.71	268.35	269.37	269.91	270.7(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	30	36	43	16.68	60%	-0.03	160.3	3.01%	0.2	1.5	53	1.2
10	Feb_12_2021	270.18	261.79	265.05	266.73	267.67	269	267.85(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	50	15	31	9.22	60%	-0.01	128.5	2.99%	-1	1	55	1.5

11	Feb_11_2021	270.2	260.61	263.72	266.29	266.52	268.84	268.93(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	60	55	42	15.01	60%	-0.01	121.4	2.99%	0.7	1.1	58	1.3
12	Feb_10_2021	270.24	259.01	262.87	265.9	266.52	266.35	267.79(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	20	38	35	12.93	54%	-0.03	104.4	2.99%	1.1	1	56	1
13	Feb_9_2021	270.31	257.02	262.1	265.03	265.28	264.21	266.49(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-30	6	14	12.38	53%	-0.03	75.3	3.16%	1.3	0.9	50	1.1
14	Feb_8_2021	270.39	255.16	261.95	262.63	265.19	264.22	262.59(-1.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0	-18	0	-25	2	10.69	53%	-0.04	61.8	3.18%	-1.1	0.6	59	1.1
15	Feb_5_2021	270.49	253.89	261.82	263.05	264.17	266.35	265.67(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	70	18	32	10.67	53%	-0.04	62.4	3.23%	-0.8	0.9	65	1.1

16	Feb_4_2021	270.59	252.02	261.1	260.68	263.14	266.17	266.96(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	110	97	65	16.67	55%	-0.04	50.3	3.24%	0.7	1.1	66	1.1
17	Feb_3_2021	270.71	250.08	260.34	259.44	259.98	261.99	263.43(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	60	41	54	29.09	51%	-0.06	44.1	3.27%	0.6	0.9	69	0.7
18	Feb_2_2021	270.86	248.9	260.46	258.86	258.81	260.12	254.5(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	30	19	68	30.14	49%	-0.07	50.2	3.39%	-0.9	0.4	71	-0.1
19	Feb_1_2021	271.06	247.63	260.34	261.14	259.67	257.97	264.69(4.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-60	0	89	15.1	51%	-0.03	55.2	3.37%	1.8	1.2	76	-1.3
20	Jan_29_2021	271.13	246.01	258.33	260.48	260.55	257.51	253.83(-2.66%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-40	-80	-75	64	13.66	48%	-0.05	47.6	3.34%	-1.4	0.5	63	-2.7

21	Jan_28_2021	271.27	245.22	257.45	261.44	262.25	261.36	260.76(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10	-29	101	10.18	47%	-0.05	43.9	3.33%	-0.9	1.1	72	-2.2
22	Jan_27_2021	271.4	243.94	255.07	261.28	261.75	263.59	260.5(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	50	7	124	15.77	48%	-0.04	37.5	3.35%	-1	1.2	72	-3
23	Jan_26_2021	271.5	242.05	251.8	262.28	261.45	263.14	265.92(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	40	50	139	13.2	48%	-0.02	28.4	3.37%	1.7	1.8	63	0.3
24	Jan_25_2021	271.56	239.81	247.99	259.43	261.93	259.91	261.38(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	-30	36	125	19.1	48%	-0.08	8.8	3.36%	0.6	1.6	67	0.8
25	Jan_22_2021	271.77	239.33	245.41	255.84	259.02	259.77	258.62(-0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	60	-26	90	13.48	48%		-0.8	3.36%	-0.7	1.6	63	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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