Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $645.9600 (0.7%) ($645.9600 - $645.9600) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.78% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $645.9600(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(80%)    IVW(70%)    QQQ(69%)    FIVG(68%)    IWF(68%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -1.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-34%)    VXX(-10%)    TBT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.39% (StdDev 2.78%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $635.84(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $635.11(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $615.81(4.9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $270.261b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 4.58% (three month std-dev: 2.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 38 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.59%(47%) Sample size 38 Average positive next three day return: 3.8%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -5.27%(39%) Sample size 38 Average positive next weekly return: 4.55%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.43%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2021	541.84	615.81	635.11	635.84	637.19	643.7	645.96(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	151	80	168	99	0.52	58%	0.2	79.7	2.78%	1.7	1.1	61	1.8
2	Apr_15_2021	540.74	610.79	634.1	633.55	633.37	636.79	641.44(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	119	40	127	95	0.86	56%	0.43	70.2	2.81%	0.3	1	70	1.8
3	Apr_14_2021	538.44	606.71	631.77	633.31	631.64	630.69	632.14(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-20	-3	55	0.6	58%	0.41	73.5	2.84%	0.2	0.8	70	1.4
4	Apr_13_2021	536.25	602.71	628.96	632.44	633.2	629.96	629.23(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-18	-30	-41	51	0.67	58%	0.4	71.8	2.92%	0.2	0.8	75	1.7
5	Apr_12_2021	534.13	598.61	627.01	631.75	632.84	632.6	630.43(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-27	0	-55	56	0.64	58%	0.41	75.2	2.92%	-0.7	0.9	66	1.8

6	Apr_9_2021	531.95	594.11	625.92	634.1	631.61	636.43	634.51(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	58	40	37	122	0.55	58%	0.42	77	2.9%	-0.4	1.1	72	1.5
7	Apr_8_2021	529.73	589.57	621.26	634.68	633.53	633.08	640.23(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	129	-10	115	172	0.86	58%	0.43	82.3	2.92%	1.4	1.4	75	1.5
8	Apr_7_2021	527.45	583.87	615.46	630.1	633.32	626.79	627.8(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-45	-60	-91	92	0.66	59%	0.4	76.3	2.91%	-0.7	1.2	67	1.4
9	Apr_6_2021	525.33	579.34	608.88	624.77	630.71	633.98	625.77(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	60	-33	111	1.15	58%	0.4	70.2	2.92%	-1	1.3	69	1.2
10	Apr_5_2021	523.23	573.24	604.04	621.17	624.55	639.86	642.19(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	296	190	310	255	1.33	58%	0.67	54.7	2.93%	1.1	1.8	74	1.3

11	Apr_1_2021	519.76	567.26	595.05	616.57	615.53	627.43	637.43(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	347	130	370	279	1.69	59%	0.44	48.8	2.92%	1.7	1.9	74	1.3
12	Mar_31_2021	517.47	560.96	585.45	606.1	610.96	609.24	617.33(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	187	0	187	188	1.34	58%	0.44	39.1	2.92%	1.8	1.7	69	1.2
13	Mar_30_2021	515.21	557.06	579.4	598.77	602.91	603.64	601.15(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-50	30	-92	75	0.98	58%	0.4	28.2	2.91%	-0.8	1.5	71	1.2
14	Mar_29_2021	513.18	554.88	574.23	590.15	597.79	612.67	607.73(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	291	210	312	226	1.21	58%	0.41	18.9	2.9%	0.4	1.9	67	1
15	Mar_26_2021	511.08	553.12	567.77	583.91	585.77	602.19	619.22(5.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	421	210	464	293	1.73	58%	0.45	14.4	2.87%	1.9	2.5	77	1.4

16	Mar_25_2021	508.78	550.08	559.33	570.49	575.1	582.9	585.06(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	311	120	340	223	0.97	55%	0.42	-5.3	2.81%	0.8	1.6	64	1.1
17	Mar_24_2021	506.67	548.56	554.99	561.79	566.84	569.35	580.69(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	143	60	145	138	1.9	56%	0.43	-20.7	2.83%	0.9	1.4	65	1
18	Mar_23_2021	504.5	548.84	549.48	557.32	557.07	567.3	558.07(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	63	130	55	88	0.68	54%	0.4	-25.4	2.8%	-0.6	0.4	53	1.1
19	Mar_22_2021	502.49	549.55	547.47	555.6	557.13	564.32	576.53(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	353	100	399	214	1.06	56%	0.45	-32	2.76%	1.7	1.2	51	1.9
20	Mar_19_2021	500.24	549.36	540.05	549.2	550.37	546.84	552.11(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-40	-33	-1	0.98	54%	0.38	-41.3	2.69%	0.5	0.1	43	1.6

21	Mar_18_2021	498.36	551.23	537.44	546.45	548.5	549.93	541.57(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	30	-65	-36	0.65	54%	0.38	-42.8	2.71%	-1.9	-0.4	45	1.2
22	Mar_17_2021	496.49	553.24	534.89	546.82	547.75	553.89	558.3(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	146	80	179	45	0.76	56%	0.4	-38.2	2.67%	2.2	0.2	49	2.1
23	Mar_16_2021	494.49	554.57	533.12	540.36	544.03	547.07	549.49(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	131	60	172	9	0.6	56%	0.38	-38.8	2.67%	1	-0.2	41	1.9
24	Mar_15_2021	492.6	557.03	534.03	538.05	538.15	541.61	544.54(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	19	50	43	-54	0.47	57%	0.35	-34.8	2.67%	0.7	-0.4	44	2.4
25	Mar_12_2021	490.87	559.54	537.17	529.43	536.47	540.99	538.36(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	169	100	225	-0	0.65	57%		-35.2	2.67%	0.2	-0.7	43	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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