Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARKK: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Mon. Jan. 25, 2021)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $146.6700 (0.4%) ($142.9300 - $149.8500) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $8.48 (6.17% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.41% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.4% (StdDev 2.41%)
Daily Moving Force   0.3%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.86%
Trend Strength   4.8%
Latest Price   $146.6700(0.4%)
Forecasted Low Price   145.79(-0.6%)
Forecasted High Price   148.58(1.3%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   1.5% (144.47)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   3%
Hourly Trend 0.2% [$146.03(0.22), $146.69(0.38)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   8
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0.3% a week (86% probability)
ARKG(90%)    IPO(82%)    SKYY(81%)    IBUY(73%)    XBI(71%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.2% in a week (32% probabilities).
VXX(-42%)    VIXM(-32%)    ROBT(-30%)    CNCR(-26%)    UUP(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 1

Relative Volatility 1.6 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   0.5% (StdDev 2.41%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Next Day Open Price   $146.58(-0.06%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Support Level   $137.43
5 Day Moving Average   $146.16(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.04(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $137.43(6.72%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   61.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 6.17% (three month std-dev: 2.41% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. ARKK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jan_25_2021	137.43 (0.6%)	144.04 (1%)	146.16 (0.7%)	146.69	146.03(0%)	146.67(0.4%)	142.93-149.85	1(1.1)	0.8	0.3%	0.4%	0%	0.86%	4.8%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.7%)	8	79	2.6	1	2.2	Uptrend	150.56(2.65%)	144.86-153.01	8.55	-0.3%-61.5%
2	Jan_22_2021	136.8 (0.6%)	143.6 (1.2%)	145.21 (0.1%)	146.31	145.81(0%)	146.08(0.88%)	143.89-146.17	1(1.1)	0.3	-0.5%	0.5%	0%	1.02%	5%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	9	78	2.6	1.1	2.1	Uptrend	150.56(3.07%)	144.28-153.26	5.68	-0.7%-60.9%
3	Jan_21_2021	136.19 (0.8%)	142.85 (1.4%)	145.05 (0.4%)	146.19	147.35(0%)	144.81(-1.56%)	144.54-148.42	0.9(1.1)	-0.5	0.4%	0.9%	0%	1.16%	4.9%	Uptrend Dip	Higher(2.1%)	10	72	2.5	0.9	2.4	After Top	149.53(3.26%)	140.28-157.11	7.26	-1.6%-59.5%
4	Jan_20_2021	135.49 (0.8%)	141.31 (1.4%)	144.43 (0.9%)	145.74	146.81(0%)	147.11(0.67%)	146.71-149.8	1.3(1.5)	0.9	1.1%	1.2%	0%	1.2%	4.3%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.3%)	10	77	2.4	1.3	2.3	Uptrend	152.42(3.61%)	144.98-155.61	7.95	0%-62%
5	Jan_19_2021	134.47 (0.8%)	139.44 (1.4%)	143.21 (1.1%)	144.18	145.04(0%)	146.13(2.97%)	144.11-146.22	1.4(1.6)	1.8	0.6%	1.3%	0%	1.14%	3.7%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.9%)	9	66	2.2	1.6	2.3	Growing Uptrend	151.71(3.82%)	143.95-153.66	7.17	0%-61%

6	Jan_15_2021	133.44 (0.6%)	137.35 (1%)	141.62 (-0.1%)	142.93	144.67(0%)	141.91(-2.32%)	141.68-148.01	1(1.3)	-0.3	0.7%	1.1%	0%	0.98%	2.9%	Uptrend Dip	Higher(3%)	8	59	2.1	1.4	2.5	Growing Uptrend	146.22(3.04%)	140.47-147.65	9.46	-2.3%-56.3%
7	Jan_14_2021	132.54 (0.8%)	135.67 (1%)	141.74 (1%)	141.52	143.32(0%)	145.28(2.51%)	142.78-147.45	1.7(1.9)	1.7	1.1%	1.2%	0%	0.92%	2.4%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.3%)	7	59	2.1	2	2.5	Growing Uptrend	149.46(2.88%)	142.91-151.1	7.65	0%-60%
8	Jan_13_2021	131.46 (0.8%)	133.81 (0.8%)	140.36 (2%)	140.93	141.19(0%)	141.72(0.52%)	140.5-143.5	1.4(1.7)	2.5	1.3%	1.1%	0%	0.76%	1.8%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.4%)	6	56	2	1.5	1.9	Growing Uptrend	145.14(2.41%)	140.05-146.41	5.15	-0.5%-56.1%
9	Jan_12_2021	130.56 (0.6%)	132.06 (0.4%)	137.66 (2%)	139.16	139.72(0%)	140.99(2%)	139.04-141.66	1.6(1.8)	3.3	0.7%	0.8%	0%	0.52%	1.1%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	5	60	1.9	1.6	2	Growing Uptrend	143.16(1.54%)	139.07-144.19	6.03	-1%-55.3%
10	Jan_11_2021	129.68 (0.6%)	130.85 (0.2%)	135.01 (2%)	136.03	140.67(0%)	138.22(-2.99%)	136.8-140.63	1.4(1.5)	1.7	1.9%	0.5%	0%	0.36%	0.9%	Uptrend Dip	Higher(3.9%)	4	62	1.8	1.3	1.6	Growing Uptrend	139.82(1.16%)	136.74-140.59	8.19	-3%-52.2%

11	Jan_8_2021	129 (0.6%)	130.21 (0.2%)	132.31 (2.8%)	132.79	138.59(0%)	142.48(2.96%)	139.29-145.64	2.3(2.5)	1.8	4.1%	0.8%	-2.2%	0.26%	0.9%	Overbought	Lower(-3%)	3	68	1.7	2.1	1	Growing Uptrend	143.62(0.8%)	139.98-144.54	12.8	0%-56.9%
12	Jan_7_2021	127.84 (0.4%)	129.26 (-0%)	128.71 (1.8%)	128.49	131.4(0%)	138.38(7.92%)	131.13-138.62	2.3(2.4)	2.3	2.5%	0.5%	-1.9%	0.12%	1.1%	Overbought	Lower(-2.9%)	4	68	1.4	1.8	0.6	N/A	136.3(-1.5%)	132.05-139.79	8.09	0%-52.4%
13	Jan_6_2021	127 (0.4%)	128.76 (-0%)	126.45 (0.6%)	126.28	127(0%)	128.23(0.37%)	125.85-131.15	0.3(0.3)	0.7	0.8%	-0.1%	0%	0.08%	1.4%	N/A	Range(0.7%)	4	58	1.4	0.1	-0.8	Correction	128.06(-0.13%)	127.43-128.83	6.82	-5%-41.2%
14	Jan_5_2021	126.65 (0.4%)	129.06 (-0%)	125.67 (-0.3%)	125.91	125.58(0%)	127.76(2.46%)	124.08-127.84	0.2(0.3)	2.4	%	0.1%	0%	0.12%	1.9%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	4	58	1.5	0.1	-0.3	Correction	127.49(-0.21%)	126.93-128.17	5.33	-5.4%-40.7%
15	Jan_4_2021	126.16 (0.4%)	129.05 (0%)	126.08 (-1.3%)	125.81	125.56(0%)	124.69(0.16%)	122.44-127.19	-0.3(-0.3)	-1.2	-1%	-0%	0%	0.2%	2.3%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-1%)	4	54	1.5	-0.2	-0.7	Uptrend Consolidation	125.11(0.34%)	125.12-125.12	8.29	-7.7%-37.3%

16	Dec_31_2020	125.71 (0.6%)	129.27 (0.2%)	127.75 (-1.6%)	127.7	126.25(0%)	124.49(-2.05%)	123.97-127.74	-0.3(-0.2)	-2.6	-0.7%	0.1%	0%	0.34%	2.8%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.4%)	5	51	1.9	-0.2	1.1	Uptrend Consolidation	125.1(0.49%)	125.02-125.37	5.42	-7.8%-37.1%
17	Dec_30_2020	125.17 (0.8%)	129.33 (0.4%)	129.84 (-1.2%)	129.78	126.06(0%)	127.1(2.24%)	125.56-127.55	0.3(0.3)	-0.9	-2%	0.3%	0%	0.56%	3.3%	Confirmed Correction	Lower(-1.7%)	5	65	2.1	0.3	0.9	Uptrend	128.89(1.41%)	126.64-129.86	5.08	-5.9%-40%
18	Dec_29_2020	124.51 (1%)	129.12 (0.6%)	131.43 (-1.1%)	132.02	129.16(0%)	124.32(-4.22%)	120.81-128.69	-0(-0)	-1.7	-2.4%	0.1%	0%	0.74%	3.7%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	6	57	2.4	-0.1	1.2	Uptrend	127.3(2.4%)	124.32-128.58	10.91	-7.9%-36.9%
19	Dec_28_2020	123.97 (1%)	129.22 (0.8%)	132.84 (0.4%)	134.24	133.51(0%)	129.8(-2.43%)	129.72-135.85	0.7(0.8)	-1.9	-0.3%	0.5%	0%	0.92%	4.2%	Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	7	68	2.6	0.7	0.8	Uptrend Dip	140.05(7.9%)	127.95-143.09	9.3	-3.9%-43%
20	Dec_24_2020	123.1 (1.2%)	128.67 (1%)	132.34 (1.1%)	133.41	134.88(0%)	133.03(-1.43%)	132.42-136.08	1.2(1.4)	1.6	0.6%	0.7%	0%	1%	4.5%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2%)	8	79	2.8	1.4	1	After Top	137.15(3.1%)	127.68-144.91	4.04	-1.5%-51.3%

21	Dec_23_2020	121.88 (1.2%)	127.86 (1%)	130.94 (1.7%)	131.65	134.96(0%)	134.96(-0.07%)	132.81-137.02	1.5(1.7)	2.5	2%	1.2%	0%	1.04%	4.9%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(3.2%)	8	86	2.9	1.9	1	Relative Overbought	139.09(3.06%)	128.07-148.11	7.05	-0.1%-53.5%
22	Dec_22_2020	120.44 (1%)	126.35 (1%)	128.74 (1.7%)	129.2	131.93(0%)	135.05(2.82%)	132.67-135.73	1.8(1.9)	2.2	2.3%	1.1%	0%	0.98%	4.9%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(3.4%)	8	87	2.9	2.1	1.2	Uptrend	140.1(3.74%)	132.08-143.54	7.41	0%-53.6%
23	Dec_21_2020	119.04 (1%)	125 (1%)	126.59 (1.1%)	126.61	128.33(0%)	131.34(3.17%)	126.25-133.01	1.5(1.7)	1.8	1.2%	1%	0%	0.96%	5%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.2%)	8	84	2.8	1.9	0.1	Uptrend	135.98(3.53%)	129.15-138.9	6.82	0%-49.4%
24	Dec_18_2020	117.72 (1%)	123.89 (1%)	125.17 (0.6%)	125.53	126.47(0%)	127.3(0.98%)	125.94-128.2	1.2(1.3)	1.3	0.8%	0.9%	0%	0.98%	5.2%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	8	82	2.8	1.5	1.9	Uptrend	131.93(3.64%)	125.56-134.67	4.19	0%-44.8%
25	Dec_17_2020	116.53 (1.2%)	122.9 (1%)	124.49 (0.1%)	125.11	124.88(0%)	126.07(1.71%)	124.79-126.54	1.1(1.3)	1.5	0.2%	1%	0%	1.02%	5.5%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.2%)	8	82	2.9	1.3	1.8	Uptrend	130.85(3.79%)	124.27-133.68	3.84	0%-43.4%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low