Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMZN: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Feb. 25, 2021)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $3058.9200 (-3.17%) ($3058.9200 - $3058.9200) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Breakdown
Trend Narrative   Growing Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $75.63 (2.32% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.6% (StdDev 1.53%)
Daily Moving Force   -1.9%
Rebound Strength   None(0.5%)
Trend   -0.38%
Trend Strength   -1.2%
RSI   25
Momentum   1.5
Latest Price   $3058.9200(-3.17%)
Forecasted Low Price   3034.45(-0.8%)
Forecasted High Price   3086.45(0.9%)
Direction of Next Movement   Lower(-1.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   5% ((3211.12))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   6.2%
Hourly Trend -2.3% [$3109.05(-70.94), $3150.08(-47.45)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   3
Intraday Reversal Probability   There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN decline at-0.6% a week (76% probability)
XLY(78%)    IVW(76%)    IWF(75%)    QQQ(75%)    VUG(75%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.2% in a week (44% probabilities).
VXX(-58%)    XRT(-44%)    VIXM(-43%)    TBT(-34%)    OIH(-25%)
Explanation The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY -2.2

Relative Volatility 0.4 (options are faily valued)

Market Trend Strength   -1.4% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV -4.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Next Day Open Price   $3041.18(-0.58%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $3265.72
5 Day Moving Average   $3169.76(-3.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3225.03(-5.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3265.72(-6.33%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $1532.519b

Option Sentiment

Earning Release Date   Tue. Feb. 2, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price   $3830.49 ($3048.00 - $4500.00)
  46 analysts (last updated on Wed. Nov. 18, 2020)
% to Average Target Price   25.22%
% to Low Target Price   -0.36%
% to High Target Price   47.11%

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.53% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. AMZN price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Feb_25_2021	3265.72 (-0.2%)	3225.03 (-0.4%)	3169.76 (-1.7%)	3150.08	3109.05(0%)	3058.92(-3.17%)	3058.92-3058.92	-2(-2.7)	-4.7	-1.9%	-0.6%	0.5%	-0.38%	-1.2%	25	1.5	Breakdown	Range(-0.4%)	3	-2.2	0.5	Growing Downtrend	3040.26(-0.61%)	3016.42-3092.57	3.61	-9.6%-0%
2	Feb_24_2021	3275.94 (-0.2%)	3248.86 (-0.4%)	3223.71 (-0.9%)	3197.53	3179.99(0%)	3159.17(-1.27%)	3159.17-3159.17	-1.4(-2)	-2.9	-0.7%	-0.4%	0%	-0.26%	-0.8%	34	1.2	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.5%)	3	-2.2	1.1	Growing Downtrend	3149.38(-0.31%)	3136.36-3179.13	2.46	-6.7%-1.7%
3	Feb_23_2021	3284.72 (-0%)	3264.03 (-0.2%)	3253.14 (-0.4%)	3236.49	3191.11(0%)	3199.65(0.57%)	3199.65-3204.27	-1(-1.6)	-0.8	-0.7%	-0.3%	0%	-0.18%	-0.6%	30	1.1	Downtrend Pop	Lower(-1%)	3	-1.5	1.5	Downtrend	3194.85(-0.15%)	3186.66-3213.94	4.22	-5.5%-3.3%
4	Feb_22_2021	3289.99 (0%)	3276.56 (-0.2%)	3267.11 (-0.6%)	3263.77	3215.07(0%)	3181.42(-2.1%)	3181.42-3181.42	-0.7(-2.2)	-1.7	-1.3%	-0.4%	0%	-0.14%	-0.4%	34	1	Breakdown	Range(-0.7%)	4	-1.8	1.7	Correction	3144.83(-1.15%)	3138.28-3171.83	2.95	-6%-2.7%
5	Feb_19_2021	3296.3 (0.2%)	3294.04 (-0%)	3286.33 (-0%)	3284.78	3281.87(0%)	3249.63(-2.38%)	3246-3249.63	-0.1(-1.1)	-2	-0.5%	-0.2%	0%	-0.02%	-0.1%	56	0.9	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.5%)	4	-1.3	1.9	Correction	3232.73(-0.52%)	3228.55-3249.63	4.14	-4%-4.9%

6	Feb_18_2021	3299.16 (0.2%)	3301.98 (-0%)	3287.8 (0.3%)	3291.98	3312.48(0%)	3328.7(0.68%)	3273.94-3328.7	0.1(0.7)	2.2	0.6%	0.1%	0%	0.02%	0.1%	59	0.9	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.7%)	4	-0.2	1.9	Correction	3318.05(-0.32%)	3307.81-3330.79	3.02	-1.7%-7.4%
7	Feb_17_2021	3296.06 (0.2%)	3299.79 (-0%)	3278.46 (0%)	3277.48	3287.69(0%)	3306.28(1.12%)	3306.28-3320.93	-0(0.2)	1.5	0.3%	-0.1%	0%	0.04%	0.1%	58	0.9	N/A	Range(0.2%)	4	-0.8	2.1	Correction	3303.63(-0.08%)	3297.98-3310.43	2.98	-2.3%-6.7%
8	Feb_16_2021	3287.76 (0.2%)	3306.75 (-0%)	3278.23 (-0.3%)	3270.49	3271.48(0%)	3269.51(-0.24%)	3253.22-3269.51	-0(-0.3)	-0.6	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	0.06%	0.6%	46	1.2	N/A	Range(-0.1%)	4	-1.4	2	Correction	3257.41(-0.37%)	3252.86-3275.06	2.52	-3.4%-5.5%
9	Feb_12_2021	3280.59 (0.2%)	3314.73 (0%)	3288.83 (-0.5%)	3279.98	3267.26(0%)	3277.52(0.63%)	3277.52-3277.54	0.2(-0)	-1.3	-0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.1%	1%	49	1.5	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	4	-0.9	2.1	Uptrend	3284.73(0.22%)	3277.52-3287.77	1.91	-3.2%-5.8%
10	Feb_11_2021	3273.81 (0.2%)	3309.52 (0%)	3303.7 (-0.4%)	3291.24	3269.51(0%)	3257(-0.76%)	3257-3257	0.4(-0.2)	-2.1	-0.7%	0%	0%	0.12%	1.1%	48	1.6	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.3%)	4	-0.9	2.2	Uptrend	3265.47(0.26%)	3258.89-3268.35	2.03	-3.8%-5.1%

11	Feb_10_2021	3269.98 (0.2%)	3309.39 (0%)	3317.65 (-0.2%)	3314.95	3292.7(0%)	3282.01(-0.7%)	3282.01-3282.01	0.7(0.2)	-2	-0.4%	0.1%	0%	0.14%	1.2%	49	1.6	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	4	-0.6	2.2	Uptrend	3292.51(0.32%)	3280.02-3297.93	2.43	-3%-8.1%
12	Feb_9_2021	3262.61 (0.2%)	3305.79 (0%)	3323.37 (-0.5%)	3326.13	3312.97(0%)	3305.1(-0.52%)	3298.27-3305.1	0.9(0.5)	-2	-0.5%	0%	0%	0.14%	1.3%	55	1.7	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	4	-0.3	2	Uptrend Consolidation	3294.19(-0.33%)	3287.83-3313.74	2.17	-2.4%-8.9%
13	Feb_8_2021	3253.59 (0.2%)	3307.66 (0.2%)	3339.33 (-0.2%)	3327.85	3337.21(0%)	3322.54(-0.88%)	3322.54-3322.54	1.1(0.8)	-1	-0.2%	0.1%	0%	0.26%	1.7%	67	1.6	Correction	Range(0.3%)	5	-0.1	1.8	Uptrend Consolidation	3306.59(-0.48%)	3294.97-3340.92	2.9	-1.8%-9.5%
14	Feb_5_2021	3246.8 (0.2%)	3304.92 (0.4%)	3344.53 (0.9%)	3343.44	3339.29(0%)	3351.87(0.76%)	3351.87-3351.87	1.3(1.2)	0.9	0.5%	0.2%	0%	0.34%	1.8%	71	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.7%)	5	0.6	1.7	Uptrend	3375.33(0.7%)	3333.45-3393.32	3.26	-1%-10.4%
15	Feb_4_2021	3237.46 (0.2%)	3298.76 (0.4%)	3316.18 (0.5%)	3342.6	3318.49(0%)	3326.72(0.49%)	3326.72-3326.72	1.2(1)	0.4	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.32%	1.9%	67	1.6	Uptrend	Range(0%)	6	0.5	1.5	Uptrend	3346.35(0.59%)	3308.88-3362.4	3.36	-1.7%-9.6%

16	Feb_3_2021	3227.99 (0%)	3295.89 (0.4%)	3299.36 (0.5%)	3313.46	3347.58(0%)	3310.64(-2.19%)	3309.15-3310.64	1.1(1)	0.1	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.32%	2.1%	62	1.4	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(1.1%)	7	0.8	1.7	Uptrend	3327.86(0.52%)	3295.14-3341.65	6.98	-2.2%-9.1%
17	Feb_2_2021	3222.99 (0%)	3291.61 (0.4%)	3284.35 (0.4%)	3300.26	3366.7(0%)	3384.89(1.09%)	3384.89-3384.89	1(1.9)	1.1	1.7%	0.6%	0%	0.34%	2.1%	71	1.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.3%)	7	1.8	1.4	N/A	3371.69(-0.39%)	3298.82-3431.23	4.82	0%-12.7%
18	Feb_1_2021	3212.45 (0%)	3265.96 (0.4%)	3272.61 (0.3%)	3262.93	3279.34(0%)	3348.51(4.31%)	3348.51-3348.51	0.8(1.8)	1.6	0.8%	0.6%	0%	0.32%	1.7%	69	1.3	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	6	2.2	1.1	N/A	3333.44(-0.45%)	3272.2-3383.73	3.56	0%-11.5%
19	Jan_29_2021	3206.78 (0%)	3242.18 (0.4%)	3262.13 (-0.5%)	3258.09	3233.82(0%)	3210.16(-1%)	3210.16-3210.16	0.6(0)	-2.1	-0.5%	0.1%	0%	0.26%	1.1%	53	1.1	Correction	Range(0.1%)	5	0.8	0.2	N/A	3221.72(0.36%)	3210.16-3231.11	3.6	-3.5%-6.9%
20	Jan_28_2021	3210.15 (0%)	3235.25 (0.4%)	3279.18 (-0.4%)	3279.59	3246.53(0%)	3242.6(0.22%)	3242.6-3302.11	0.9(0.5)	-1.9	-0.7%	0.1%	0%	0.32%	0.8%	57	1.1	Correction	Range(-0.6%)	6	0.3	0.6	Uptrend	3255.89(0.41%)	3237.24-3264.05	0	-2.5%-8%

21	Jan_27_2021	3213.24 (0.2%)	3228.29 (0.4%)	3291.05 (-0.2%)	3290.72	3282.36(0%)	3235.58(-2.72%)	3235.58-3235.58	1.1(0.3)	-2	-0.7%	0.2%	0%	0.38%	0.5%	60	1.1	Confirmed Correction	Range(0.9%)	6	0.6	0.9	Uptrend	3252.41(0.52%)	3231.92-3261.19	4.02	-2.7%-7.7%
22	Jan_26_2021	3215.19 (0.2%)	3217.72 (0.4%)	3297.31 (1.3%)	3310.23	3312.64(0%)	3326.18(0.91%)	3326.18-3338	1.3(1.4)	3.3	0.6%	0.5%	0%	0.38%	0.1%	57	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	6	0.7	1.5	Growing Uptrend	3348.13(0.66%)	3308.31-3357.94	2.48	0%-10.8%
23	Jan_25_2021	3207.06 (0%)	3196.21 (0.2%)	3256.72 (1.2%)	3294.67	3299.09(0%)	3296.15(0.02%)	3296.15-3296.15	0.9(1.2)	2.2	0.5%	0.3%	0%	0.22%	-0.3%	58	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.8%)	5	0.3	2.2	Uptrend	3305.05(0.27%)	3280.93-3315.17	3.3	-0.8%-9.8%
24	Jan_22_2021	3201.27 (0%)	3184.27 (0.2%)	3218.49 (1.1%)	3251.44	3307.82(0%)	3295.38(-0.2%)	3295.38-3321.94	0.5(1.3)	2	0.9%	0.3%	0%	0.08%	-0.5%	51	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.3%)	5	0.4	2.1	N/A	3278.57(-0.51%)	3244.61-3306.66	2.29	-0.8%-9.7%
25	Jan_21_2021	3196.27 (-0%)	3170.49 (-0%)	3184.6 (0.9%)	3202.19	3290.25(0%)	3301.95(1.07%)	3301.95-3348.63	-0(1.5)	1.4	2.1%	0.4%	0%	-0.06%	-0.8%	49	1.1	N/A	Higher(2.5%)	4	0.3	2.4	Range Bound	3285.77(-0.49%)	3265.83-3301.95	4.27	-0.6%-9.9%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low