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     Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Feb. 25, 2021)

(Amazon)

AMZN latest price $3058.9200 (-3.17%) ($3058.9200 - $3058.9200) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Breakdown
Trend Narrative  Growing Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $75.63 (2.32% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.53% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.6% (StdDev 1.53%)
Daily Moving Force  -1.9%
Rebound Strength  None(0.5%)
Trend   -0.38%
Trend Strength  -1.2%
RSI   25
Momentum  1.5
Latest Price  $3058.9200(-3.17%)
Forecasted Low Price  3034.45(-0.8%)
Forecasted High Price  3086.45(0.9%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-1.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  5% ((3211.12))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  6.2%
Hourly Trend   -2.3% [$3109.05(-70.94), $3150.08(-47.45)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  3
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  AMZN declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  AMZN declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support AMZN decline at-0.6% a week (76% probability)
  XLY(78%)    IVW(76%)    IWF(75%)    QQQ(75%)    VUG(75%)  
Factors Impacting AMZN price  AMZN will decline at least -0.2% in a week (44% probabilities).
  VXX(-58%)    XRT(-44%)    VIXM(-43%)    TBT(-34%)    OIH(-25%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.2
 
Relative Volatility   0.4 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.4% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV   -4.7 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $3041.18(-0.58%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $3265.72
5 Day Moving Average  $3169.76(-3.5%)
10 Day Moving Average  $3225.03(-5.15%)
20 Day Moving Average  $3265.72(-6.33%)
To recent high  -9.6%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $1532.519b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Tue. Feb. 2, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $3830.49 ($3048.00 - $4500.00)
  46 analysts (last updated on Wed. Nov. 18, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  25.22%
% to Low Target Price  -0.36%
% to High Target Price  47.11%
 
 


Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.53%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. AMZN price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Feb_25_20213265.72 (-0.2%)3225.03 (-0.4%)3169.76 (-1.7%) 3150.08 3109.05(0%)3058.92(-3.17%)3058.92-3058.92-2(-2.7)-4.7 -1.9%-0.6%0.5%-0.38%-1.2%251.5 Breakdown  Range(-0.4%)3-2.20.5Growing Downtrend 3040.26(-0.61%)3016.42-3092.573.61   -9.6%-0
2Feb_24_20213275.94 (-0.2%)3248.86 (-0.4%)3223.71 (-0.9%) 3197.53 3179.99(0%)3159.17(-1.27%)3159.17-3159.17-1.4(-2)-2.9 -0.7%-0.4%0%-0.26%-0.8%341.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.5%)3-2.21.1Growing Downtrend 3149.38(-0.31%)3136.36-3179.132.46   -6.7%-1.7% 
3Feb_23_20213284.72 (-0%)3264.03 (-0.2%)3253.14 (-0.4%) 3236.49 3191.11(0%)3199.65(0.57%)3199.65-3204.27-1(-1.6)-0.8 -0.7%-0.3%0%-0.18%-0.6%301.1 Downtrend Pop  Lower(-1%)3-1.51.5Downtrend 3194.85(-0.15%)3186.66-3213.944.22   -5.5%-3.3% 
4Feb_22_20213289.99 (0%)3276.56 (-0.2%)3267.11 (-0.6%) 3263.77 3215.07(0%)3181.42(-2.1%)3181.42-3181.42-0.7(-2.2)-1.7 -1.3%-0.4%0%-0.14%-0.4%341 Breakdown  Range(-0.7%)4-1.81.7Correction 3144.83(-1.15%)3138.28-3171.832.95   -6%-2.7% 
5Feb_19_20213296.3 (0.2%)3294.04 (-0%)3286.33 (-0%) 3284.78 3281.87(0%)3249.63(-2.38%)3246-3249.63-0.1(-1.1)-2 -0.5%-0.2%0%-0.02%-0.1%560.9 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.5%)4-1.31.9Correction 3232.73(-0.52%)3228.55-3249.634.14   -4%-4.9% 
 
6Feb_18_20213299.16 (0.2%)3301.98 (-0%)3287.8 (0.3%) 3291.98 3312.48(0%)3328.7(0.68%)3273.94-3328.70.1(0.7)2.2 0.6%0.1%0%0.02%0.1%590.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.7%)4-0.21.9Correction 3318.05(-0.32%)3307.81-3330.793.02   -1.7%-7.4% 
7Feb_17_20213296.06 (0.2%)3299.79 (-0%)3278.46 (0%) 3277.48 3287.69(0%)3306.28(1.12%)3306.28-3320.93-0(0.2)1.5 0.3%-0.1%0%0.04%0.1%580.9 N/A  Range(0.2%)4-0.82.1Correction 3303.63(-0.08%)3297.98-3310.432.98   -2.3%-6.7% 
8Feb_16_20213287.76 (0.2%)3306.75 (-0%)3278.23 (-0.3%) 3270.49 3271.48(0%)3269.51(-0.24%)3253.22-3269.51-0(-0.3)-0.6 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.06%0.6%461.2 N/A  Range(-0.1%)4-1.42Correction 3257.41(-0.37%)3252.86-3275.062.52   -3.4%-5.5% 
9Feb_12_20213280.59 (0.2%)3314.73 (0%)3288.83 (-0.5%) 3279.98 3267.26(0%)3277.52(0.63%)3277.52-3277.540.2(-0)-1.3 -0.2%0.2%0%0.1%1%491.5 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0%)4-0.92.1Uptrend 3284.73(0.22%)3277.52-3287.771.91   -3.2%-5.8% 
10Feb_11_20213273.81 (0.2%)3309.52 (0%)3303.7 (-0.4%) 3291.24 3269.51(0%)3257(-0.76%)3257-32570.4(-0.2)-2.1 -0.7%0%0%0.12%1.1%481.6 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)4-0.92.2Uptrend 3265.47(0.26%)3258.89-3268.352.03   -3.8%-5.1% 
 
11Feb_10_20213269.98 (0.2%)3309.39 (0%)3317.65 (-0.2%) 3314.95 3292.7(0%)3282.01(-0.7%)3282.01-3282.010.7(0.2)-2 -0.4%0.1%0%0.14%1.2%491.6 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0%)4-0.62.2Uptrend 3292.51(0.32%)3280.02-3297.932.43   -3%-8.1% 
12Feb_9_20213262.61 (0.2%)3305.79 (0%)3323.37 (-0.5%) 3326.13 3312.97(0%)3305.1(-0.52%)3298.27-3305.10.9(0.5)-2 -0.5%0%0%0.14%1.3%551.7 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.2%)4-0.32Uptrend Consolidation 3294.19(-0.33%)3287.83-3313.742.17   -2.4%-8.9% 
13Feb_8_20213253.59 (0.2%)3307.66 (0.2%)3339.33 (-0.2%) 3327.85 3337.21(0%)3322.54(-0.88%)3322.54-3322.541.1(0.8)-1 -0.2%0.1%0%0.26%1.7%671.6 Correction  Range(0.3%)5-0.11.8Uptrend Consolidation 3306.59(-0.48%)3294.97-3340.922.9   -1.8%-9.5% 
14Feb_5_20213246.8 (0.2%)3304.92 (0.4%)3344.53 (0.9%) 3343.44 3339.29(0%)3351.87(0.76%)3351.87-3351.871.3(1.2)0.9 0.5%0.2%0%0.34%1.8%711.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.7%)50.61.7Uptrend 3375.33(0.7%)3333.45-3393.323.26   -1%-10.4% 
15Feb_4_20213237.46 (0.2%)3298.76 (0.4%)3316.18 (0.5%) 3342.6 3318.49(0%)3326.72(0.49%)3326.72-3326.721.2(1)0.4 -0.1%0.1%0%0.32%1.9%671.6 Uptrend  Range(0%)60.51.5Uptrend 3346.35(0.59%)3308.88-3362.43.36   -1.7%-9.6% 
 
16Feb_3_20213227.99 (0%)3295.89 (0.4%)3299.36 (0.5%) 3313.46 3347.58(0%)3310.64(-2.19%)3309.15-3310.641.1(1)0.1 -0.1%0.1%0%0.32%2.1%621.4 Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(1.1%)70.81.7Uptrend 3327.86(0.52%)3295.14-3341.656.98   -2.2%-9.1% 
17Feb_2_20213222.99 (0%)3291.61 (0.4%)3284.35 (0.4%) 3300.26 3366.7(0%)3384.89(1.09%)3384.89-3384.891(1.9)1.1 1.7%0.6%0%0.34%2.1%711.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.3%)71.81.4N/A 3371.69(-0.39%)3298.82-3431.234.82   0%-12.7% 
18Feb_1_20213212.45 (0%)3265.96 (0.4%)3272.61 (0.3%) 3262.93 3279.34(0%)3348.51(4.31%)3348.51-3348.510.8(1.8)1.6 0.8%0.6%0%0.32%1.7%691.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.4%)62.21.1N/A 3333.44(-0.45%)3272.2-3383.733.56   0%-11.5% 
19Jan_29_20213206.78 (0%)3242.18 (0.4%)3262.13 (-0.5%) 3258.09 3233.82(0%)3210.16(-1%)3210.16-3210.160.6(0)-2.1 -0.5%0.1%0%0.26%1.1%531.1 Correction  Range(0.1%)50.80.2N/A 3221.72(0.36%)3210.16-3231.113.6   -3.5%-6.9% 
20Jan_28_20213210.15 (0%)3235.25 (0.4%)3279.18 (-0.4%) 3279.59 3246.53(0%)3242.6(0.22%)3242.6-3302.110.9(0.5)-1.9 -0.7%0.1%0%0.32%0.8%571.1 Correction  Range(-0.6%)60.30.6Uptrend 3255.89(0.41%)3237.24-3264.050   -2.5%-8% 
 
21Jan_27_20213213.24 (0.2%)3228.29 (0.4%)3291.05 (-0.2%) 3290.72 3282.36(0%)3235.58(-2.72%)3235.58-3235.581.1(0.3)-2 -0.7%0.2%0%0.38%0.5%601.1 Confirmed Correction  Range(0.9%)60.60.9Uptrend 3252.41(0.52%)3231.92-3261.194.02   -2.7%-7.7% 
22Jan_26_20213215.19 (0.2%)3217.72 (0.4%)3297.31 (1.3%) 3310.23 3312.64(0%)3326.18(0.91%)3326.18-33381.3(1.4)3.3 0.6%0.5%0%0.38%0.1%571.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.1%)60.71.5Growing Uptrend 3348.13(0.66%)3308.31-3357.942.48   0%-10.8% 
23Jan_25_20213207.06 (0%)3196.21 (0.2%)3256.72 (1.2%) 3294.67 3299.09(0%)3296.15(0.02%)3296.15-3296.150.9(1.2)2.2 0.5%0.3%0%0.22%-0.3%581.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.8%)50.32.2Uptrend 3305.05(0.27%)3280.93-3315.173.3   -0.8%-9.8% 
24Jan_22_20213201.27 (0%)3184.27 (0.2%)3218.49 (1.1%) 3251.44 3307.82(0%)3295.38(-0.2%)3295.38-3321.940.5(1.3)2 0.9%0.3%0%0.08%-0.5%511.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)50.42.1N/A 3278.57(-0.51%)3244.61-3306.662.29   -0.8%-9.7% 
25Jan_21_20213196.27 (-0%)3170.49 (-0%)3184.6 (0.9%) 3202.19 3290.25(0%)3301.95(1.07%)3301.95-3348.63-0(1.5)1.4 2.1%0.4%0%-0.06%-0.8%491.1 N/A  Higher(2.5%)40.32.4Range Bound 3285.77(-0.49%)3265.83-3301.954.27   -0.6%-9.9% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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