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| ^ AMZN: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice |
| Fri. Sep. 18, 2020 |
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Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $2951.4650 (-1.92%) ($2905.5400 - $3037.8000) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020. Trend and Trading Plan | Trend Narrative | Downtrend | | Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. | | Daily Trend | AMZN declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days. | | Weekly Trend | AMZN declines -5.9% a week on average for past two weeks. | | Market Behavior | Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap. | | Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support AMZN decline at-2.4% a week (79% probability)
QQQ(83%) IWF(81%) VUG(80%) IVW(78%) SKYY(75%) | | Factors Impacting AMZN price | AMZN will advance at least 0.4% in a week (32% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%) VXX(-37%) UUP(-30%) SHY(-18%) JETS(-14%) | | Explanation | The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. | | Trading Plan | Not Available | | | | | Valuation to SPY | -2.2 | | | | | Relative Volatility | 2.5 (options are extremely expensive) | | | | | Hourly Trend | -2.33% [$2983.32(-71.21), $3054.44(-39.87)] | | Last Hour Trend | 0.14% [$2938.21, $2934.08] |
AMZN Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast
| Bullish Probability | 17% | | Bullish Price Move | 2.4% | | Bearish Probability | 83% | | Bearish Price Move | -2.4% | | Recommended Position Size | -28% | | Latest Price | $2951.4650 | | Next Day Open Price | $2959.73(0.28%) | | 1 - 3 Day Target Price | $2890.37(-2.07%) | | 1 - 5 Day Possible Target | $2773.16(-6.04%) | | 1 - 5 Day Price Range | $2840.55 - $3006.92 | | Resistance Level | $3257.96 | | 5 Day Moving Average | $3058.1(-3.49%) | | 10 Day Moving Average | $3123.27(-5.5%) | | 20 Day Moving Average | $3257.96(-9.41%) | | To recent high | -16.5% | | To recent low | 11.2% | | Market Cap | $1478.684b | | | | Option Sentiment | | | | | | | Earning Release Date | Thu. Oct. 22, 2020 | | Analyst One Year Target Price | $3665.40 ($2646.00 - $4200.00)
44 analysts (last updated on Sun. Aug. 9, 2020) | | % to Average Target Price | 24.19% | | % to Low Target Price | -10.35% | | % to High Target Price | 42.3% | | |
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Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.
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$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News
$. AMZN price fluctuates within 5.01% (three month std-dev: 2.41% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. AMZN price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).
Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart | i | Date | To High-Low | ema20
Trend | ema10
Trend | ema5
Trend | Hourly
Trend | Last
Hour | EMA
Ratio | BBV | RV | RVT(RV,IV) | VIXCD | Volume
millions | Close | ActualPriceRange | Trend-Narrative | NextDay
PriceTarget | NextDayPriceRange | RSI |
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| 1 | Sep_18_2020 | -16.5%-11.2% | -1.6%,-0.3(-0.1) | -5.9%,-1.2(-0.1) | -1.1%,-0.2 | -1.2 | 0.14% | -4.1% | -1.9 | -2.2 | 2.5(5.01%,NAN%) | 2.1 | 8.87 | 2951.47(-1.92%) | 2905.54-3037.8 | Downtrend | 2890.37(-2.07%) | 2840.55-3006.93 | 30 | | 2 | Sep_17_2020 | -14.8%-14% | -1.2%,-0.3(-0.1) | -5.5%,-1.2(-0.2) | -1.1%,-0.2 | -0.9 | -0.01% | -3.4% | -1.8 | -2.4 | 2(4.47%,2.29%) | 2.1 | 6.44 | 3009.1(-2.22%) | 2972.55-3029.54 | Growing Downtrend | 2962.16(-1.56%) | 2914.95-3056.17 | 32 | | 3 | Sep_16_2020 | -12.9%-17.7% | -0.8%,-0.2(-0.2) | -4.7%,-1.2(-0.2) | -1.2%,-0.3 | -0 | -0.2% | -2.3% | -1.6 | -2.3 | 1.5(4.03%,2.36%) | 1.4 | 4.51 | 3077.28(-2.38%) | 3074.15-3187.24 | Growing Downtrend | 3040.04(-1.21%) | 3002.95-3114.45 | 32 | | 4 | Sep_15_2020 | -10.8%-22.5% | -0.1%,-0(-0) | -3.8%,-1(-0.1) | 0.1%,0 | -0.6 | -0.05% | -1.4% | -1.2 | -1.8 | 1(3.71%,2.1%) | 0.8 | 3.98 | 3152.3(1.67%) | 3108.92-3175.02 | Relative Oversold | 3169.01(0.53%) | 3082.1-3240.05 | 42 | | 5 | Sep_14_2020 | -12.3%-20.5% | -0.1%,-0(-0.1) | -3.5%,-1(-0.2) | -1.2%,-0.3 | -1.5 | -0.11% | -0.6% | -1.7 | -2.4 | 1(3.65%,2.31%) | 0.8 | 4.5 | 3100.38(-0.56%) | 3096-3187.39 | Downtrend | 3075.89(-0.79%) | 3049.41-3137.19 | 42 | | | | |
| 6 | Sep_11_2020 | -11.8%-22.5% | 0.2%,0.1(-0.1) | -2.6%,-0.7(-0.3) | -1.6%,-0.4 | -0.6 | 0.05% | 0.2% | -1.7 | -1.5 | 1(3.54%,2.12%) | 0.1 | 5.17 | 3117.79(-1.84%) | 3083.98-3217.34 | Correction | 3004.3(-3.64%) | 2985.44-3079.19 | 44 | | 7 | Sep_10_2020 | -10.1%-24.8% | 0.5%,0.2(-0.2) | -1.6%,-0.5(-0.5) | -2.2%,-0.6 | 0.3 | -1.17% | 1% | -1.2 | -0.6 | 0.9(3.44%,2.29%) | -0.7 | 5.31 | 3176.1(-2.8%) | 3170.55-3349.89 | Correction | 3093.2(-2.61%) | 3077.83-3154.26 | 46 | | 8 | Sep_9_2020 | -7.5%-28.4% | 1.1%,0.3(-0.1) | 0.1%,0(-0.3) | -1.4%,-0.4 | -1.5 | 0.12% | 1.8% | -0.4 | -0.1 | 1(3.46%,2.25%) | -0.7 | 5.15 | 3267.47(3.95%) | 3185-3303.18 | Downtrend Reversal | 3222.05(-1.39%) | 3210.87-3267.47 | 53 | | 9 | Sep_8_2020 | -11%-24.5% | 1.4%,0.4(-0.2) | 0.9%,0.2(-0.4) | -1.8%,-0.5 | -2.7 | -0.62% | 2.3% | -1.3 | -1 | 1.6(3.79%,2.67%) | -1.2 | 6.07 | 3143.38(-4.54%) | 3130-3250.85 | Uptrend Consolidation | 3189.9(1.48%) | 3202.91-3151.32 | 42 | | 10 | Sep_4_2020 | -6.8%-33.9% | 2.1%,0.5(-0.1) | 2.3%,0.6(-0.2) | -0.6%,-0.2 | -2.1 | 0.82% | 2.8% | -0.1 | -0.1 | 1.9(3.79%,2.41%) | -1.1 | 8.9 | 3293(-2.25%) | 3111.13-3381.5 | Uptrend Consolidation | 3304.85(0.36%) | 3299.23-3322.1 | 61 | | | | |
| 11 | Sep_3_2020 | -4.7%-36.9% | 2.3%,0.6(-0.1) | 3.2%,0.8(-0.1) | -0.2%,-0 | -0.3 | -0.25% | 3.1% | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.2(3.82%,2.28%) | -2.4 | 8.08 | 3368.93(-4.65%) | 3303-3488.41 | Uptrend Consolidation | 3360.51(-0.25%) | 3343.17-3411.86 | 68 | | 12 | Sep_2_2020 | 0%-43.6% | 2.6%,0.7(-0) | 3.7%,1(-0) | 0.5%,0.1 | 0.9 | 0.06% | 3.1% | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2.6(3.84%,1.82%) | 0.2 | 3.89 | 3533.41(0.97%) | 3486.69-3552.25 | Uptrend | 3579.7(1.31%) | 3482.56-3621.54 | 80 | | 13 | Sep_1_2020 | 0%-42.2% | 2.7%,0.8(0) | 3.8%,1.1(-0.1) | 0.9%,0.3 | 0.9 | 0.03% | 2.8% | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2.4(3.58%,1.72%) | 0 | 3.43 | 3499.38(1.35%) | 3467-3513.87 | Uptrend | 3546.62(1.35%) | 3452.37-3587.13 | 79 | | 14 | Aug_31_2020 | 0%-40.3% | 2.7%,0.8(0) | 4%,1.2(0.1) | 0.9%,0.3 | 0.3 | -0.03% | 2.8% | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.3(3.37%,1.74%) | 0.1 | 4.36 | 3452.61(1.53%) | 3405-3495 | Uptrend | 3498.18(1.32%) | 3414.79-3534.07 | 81 | | 15 | Aug_28_2020 | -1.2%-41.7% | 2.6%,0.8(-0) | 3.7%,1.2(0.1) | 0.7%,0.2 | 0.6 | -0.05% | 2.6% | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.6(3.12%,2.17%) | 0.8 | 2.88 | 3400.6(0.08%) | 3386.5-3433.37 | Growing Uptrend | 3449.57(1.44%) | 3368.75-3469.61 | 70 | | | | |
| 16 | Aug_27_2020 | -1.3%-41.6% | 2.6%,0.8(0) | 3.4%,1.1(0.1) | 0.6%,0.2 | 1.5 | 0.22% | 2.2% | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.1(3.13%,2.05%) | 0.7 | 4.31 | 3398.04(-1.27%) | 3378-3453.19 | Growing Uptrend | 3442.21(1.3%) | 3363.44-3461.91 | 67 | | 17 | Aug_26_2020 | 0%-43.4% | 2.6%,0.8(0.1) | 2.9%,0.9(0.2) | 1.1%,0.3 | 1.2 | -0.02% | 2% | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.1(3.12%,2.11%) | 1.3 | 6.91 | 3441.75(2.86%) | 3344.57-3451.74 | Growing Uptrend | 3479.27(1.09%) | 3393.45-3500.79 | 64 | | 18 | Aug_25_2020 | 0%-39.4% | 2.2%,0.7(0.1) | 2.2%,0.8(0.1) | 0.2%,0.1 | 0.6 | 0.11% | 1.8% | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7(2.93%,2.03%) | 1.6 | 4.35 | 3346.02(1.17%) | 3267-3357.4 | Uptrend | 3367.43(0.64%) | 3314.11-3390.2 | 61 | | 19 | Aug_24_2020 | -0.2%-37.8% | 2%,0.7(0.1) | 2%,0.7(0.1) | 0.8%,0.3 | 0.3 | -0.18% | 1.5% | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.2(2.82%,2.05%) | 1.7 | 4.65 | 3307.19(0.67%) | 3257.56-3380.32 | Uptrend | 3325.05(0.54%) | 3279.18-3344.54 | 64 | | 20 | Aug_21_2020 | -0.8%-36.9% | 1.5%,0.5(0.1) | 1.7%,0.6(0.2) | 0.9%,0.3 | 0 | -0% | 1.4% | 1.4 | 1.2 | -0.2(2.84%,1.84%) | 1.7 | 3.55 | 3285.21(-0.32%) | 3275.39-3314.4 | Growing Uptrend | 3306.24(0.64%) | 3259.56-3317.86 | 65 | | | | |
| 21 | Aug_20_2020 | -0.5%-37.3% | 1.4%,0.5(0.1) | 1.3%,0.4(-0) | 0.9%,0.3 | 0.9 | 0.21% | 1.4% | 1.6 | 1.5 | -0.2(2.89%,1.72%) | 1.5 | 3.32 | 3295.64(1.05%) | 3238-3312.62 | Uptrend | 3307.17(0.35%) | 3267.02-3324.26 | 59 | | 22 | Aug_19_2020 | -1.5%-35.9% | 1.1%,0.4(0) | 1.3%,0.5(-0.1) | 0.6%,0.2 | 2.1 | -0.43% | 1.7% | 1.5 | 1.1 | -0.4(2.69%,1.83%) | 1.6 | 4.16 | 3261.42(-1.54%) | 3256-3315.9 | Uptrend | 3268.92(0.23%) | 3235.1-3283.36 | 65 | | 23 | Aug_18_2020 | 0%-38% | 1.1%,0.4(0.1) | 1.5%,0.6(0.2) | 1.5%,0.6 | 1.5 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.4 | 1.9 | -0.6(2.53%,2%) | 1.6 | 5.33 | 3312.43(4.04%) | 3205.82-3320 | Growing Uptrend | 3324.69(0.37%) | 3272.66-3337.55 | 70 | | 24 | Aug_17_2020 | -1.2%-32.7% | 0.8%,0.4(-0) | 1.1%,0.5(-0) | 0.2%,0.1 | 0 | 0.17% | 1.4% | 1 | -0.2 | -0.9(2.22%,1.61%) | 1.8 | 2.68 | 3183.94(1.17%) | 3154.18-3194.97 | Uptrend | 3189.67(0.18%) | 3169.83-3198.05 | 67 | | 25 | Aug_14_2020 | -2.4%-31.7% | 0.9%,0.4(0.1) | 1.1%,0.5(-0.2) | -0.1%,-0.1 | 0.6 | -0.14% | 1.2% | 0.4 | -0.7 | -0.9(2.4%,1.66%) | 1.8 | 2.74 | 3147.12(-0.4%) | 3120-3179.43 | Uptrend Consolidation | 3141.14(-0.19%) | 3135.78-3157.2 | 59 | | i | Date | To High-Low | ema20
Trend | ema10
Trend | ema5
Trend | Hourly
Trend | Last
Hour | EMA
Ratio | BBV | RV | RVT | VIXCD | Volume
millions | Close | 5 Day
Target | Trend
Narrative | 5 Day
Price Change | SRI | RSI |
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