Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Tue. Apr. 23, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $3401.2200 (0.5%) ($3401.2200 - $3401.2200) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $3401.2200(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(35%)    XLY(34%)    IVW(33%)    IWF(33%)    XLK(32%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    EDOC(-8%)    VXX(-7%)    TBT(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $3377.95(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3332.94(2.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3216.86(5.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $1704.011b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 4.07% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(54%) Average negative next day return: -1.95%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.62%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.33%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.2%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.14%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2021	3194.03	3216.86	3332.94	3377.95	3383.1	3392.79	3401.22(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	794	20	886	516	2.63	54%	0.07	59.5	1.67%	1.5	1.4	84	1.8
2	Apr_15_2021	3191.85	3198.45	3309.47	3372.1	3377.53	3366.62	3384.36(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-76	-20	-140	116	2.61	54%	0.07	57.1	1.68%	-0.2	1.4	79	1.8
3	Apr_14_2021	3189.77	3185.58	3282.03	3354.75	3374.43	3373.4	3332(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-137	20	-210	84	2.55	54%	0.07	60.4	1.67%	-1.8	1.2	71	1.4
4	Apr_13_2021	3187.51	3173.18	3255.96	3344.19	3361.31	3388.43	3398.72(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	839	70	940	534	3.27	56%	0.1	61.4	1.66%	0.8	1.9	71	1.7
5	Apr_12_2021	3184.35	3155.97	3223.73	3308.88	3331.63	3375.46	3373.45(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1695	110	1955	916	2.68	56%	0.09	64.2	1.67%	1.1	2.1	72	1.8

6	Apr_9_2021	3181.45	3140.95	3189.58	3280.85	3292.14	3334.19	3371.98(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1741	100	2014	921	3.81	53%	0.08	69.6	1.68%	1.6	2.5	75	1.5
7	Apr_8_2021	3178.77	3126.82	3157.28	3238.13	3257.54	3287.8	3297.59(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1520	80	1761	798	2.74	51%	0.06	78.1	1.67%	0.8	2.3	73	1.5
8	Apr_7_2021	3176.75	3114.28	3135.63	3198.45	3223.17	3250.09	3279.2(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1298	80	1508	668	3.02	51%	0.05	78.1	1.67%	1.4	2.5	58	1.4
9	Apr_6_2021	3175.24	3102.93	3119.6	3153.84	3178.16	3227.28	3222.19(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	1447	130	1690	717	2.35	47%	0.03	69.9	1.66%	0.8	2.2	59	1.2
10	Apr_5_2021	3174.28	3089.54	3107.63	3124.92	3136.96	3196.26	3233.31(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	2286	140	2681	1100	2.76	47%	0.06	38	1.7%	1.5	2.6	62	1.3

11	Apr_1_2021	3172.5	3077.44	3089.41	3084.79	3097.96	3129.04	3158.37(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	1785	80	2100	839	2.54	44%	0.01	10.4	1.68%	1.6	1.6	55	1.3
12	Mar_31_2021	3172.29	3068.72	3076.98	3065.04	3066.4	3077.66	3099.16(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	420	30	501	178	2.37	41%	0.02	-7.6	1.67%	1.2	0.6	48	1.2
13	Mar_30_2021	3171.62	3064.14	3080.58	3063.8	3056.51	3066.88	3056.16(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	86	20	105	27	1.96	41%	-0.03	-22.8	1.67%	0.7	-0.2	51	1.2
14	Mar_29_2021	3172.48	3065.87	3084.42	3080.05	3069.88	3055.13	3077.6(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-40	-2	-3	2.2	41%	-0.08	-22.2	1.67%	1.2	0.2	52	1
15	Mar_26_2021	3174.92	3068.79	3084.03	3087.52	3084.83	3046.13	3032.66(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1262	-90	-1489	-581	2.51	46%	-0.1	-21.3	1.71%	-1.2	-0.7	60	1.4

16	Mar_25_2021	3177.94	3072.34	3090.59	3093.42	3105.41	3084.62	3059.6(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-962	-40	-1140	-427	3.12	46%	-0.06	-31.1	1.72%	-1.5	-0.2	57	1.1
17	Mar_24_2021	3179.83	3072.44	3096.19	3088.98	3106.04	3123.53	3092.98(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	134	60	146	98	2.87	46%	0.01	-53.7	1.73%	-1.2	0.4	60	1
18	Mar_23_2021	3179.36	3075.16	3093.32	3099.28	3092.94	3126.19	3137.41(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	914	70	1060	477	3.1	46%	0.04	-54.8	1.73%	0.8	1	62	1.1
19	Mar_22_2021	3177.96	3077.26	3085.99	3090.31	3094.7	3088.56	3114.97(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	811	-10	940	422	2.34	46%	0.03	-62	1.72%	1.5	0.6	51	1.9
20	Mar_19_2021	3177.16	3079.82	3070.73	3081.6	3089.11	3059.68	3062.15(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1060	-60	-1254	-479	3.21	44%	-0.05	-64.1	1.7%	-0.6	-0.2	43	1.6

21	Mar_18_2021	3178.71	3088.42	3065.18	3087.74	3091.43	3100.84	3037.38(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-573	20	-679	-256	3.14	44%	-0.04	-51.6	1.71%	-2.2	-0.6	45	1.2
22	Mar_17_2021	3180.05	3102.05	3060.94	3103.1	3100.33	3118.53	3144.47(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1061	40	1243	516	2.69	47%	-0.05	-41	1.66%	2.3	0.4	56	2.1
23	Mar_16_2021	3181.52	3108.85	3046.43	3086.27	3092.76	3082.01	3092.59(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	122	-20	146	50	2.23	48%	-0.04	-43.8	1.64%	0.7	-0.2	44	1.9
24	Mar_15_2021	3182.72	3117	3045.41	3081.15	3084.69	3082.13	3071.43(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-525	-0	-611	-268	2.47	48%	-0.04	-46.9	1.67%	-0.4	-0.4	40	2.4
25	Mar_12_2021	3184.11	3126.78	3051.53	3057.41	3083.58	3103.5	3092.83(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	950	70	1130	409	2.1	48%		-54.2	1.66%	0.3	-0.3	43	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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