Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 10, 2020

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Apr. 18, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $2648.2300 (1.78%) ($2626.2600 - $2722.3500) on Wed. Jun. 10, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.64% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $2648.2300(1.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(39%)    IWF(38%)    IVW(37%)    QQQ(37%)    XLK(37%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -1.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-8%)    TBT(-8%)    UNG(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.32% (StdDev 2.64%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $2543.48(4.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2501.65(5.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2464.98(7.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   58.1%
Market Cap   $1326.763b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 2.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 34 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(41%) Average negative next day return: -1.75%(59%) Sample size 34 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(59%) Sample size 34 Average positive next weekly return: 2.84%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.2%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2020	2144.83	2464.98	2501.65	2543.48	2559.85	2625.06	2648.23(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	1647	200	1923	819	4.92	72%	0.36	67.7	2.64%	1.1	2.8	66	0.9
2	Jun_9_2020	2137.12	2449.93	2476.85	2509.34	2511.91	2552.84	2601.97(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	1201	120	1404	591	5.1	68%	0.22	68.6	2.69%	1.6	2.8	67	1
3	Jun_8_2020	2132.33	2439.48	2457.92	2483.46	2483.71	2494.64	2525.02(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	487	30	568	244	3.96	66%	0.32	82.6	2.77%	1.9	2	64	1.6
4	Jun_5_2020	2125.51	2431.98	2448.39	2472.71	2471	2470.97	2481.99(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-7	-0	-12	9	3.28	64%	0.29	93.1	2.77%	0.9	1.3	62	2
5	Jun_4_2020	2119.28	2426.2	2444.58	2463.8	2469.37	2472.78	2460.19(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	126	20	144	72	3.41	66%	0.29	87	2.8%	-1.3	0.9	63	1.6

6	Jun_3_2020	2113.11	2420.94	2447.58	2451.77	2459.21	2471.03	2477.52(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	248	40	286	133	2.66	64%	0.3	72.5	2.82%	2.2	1.4	69	1.7
7	Jun_2_2020	2106.84	2413.12	2444.31	2438.22	2441.15	2465.96	2472.58(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	455	70	529	231	2.52	65%	0.29	60	2.84%	0.7	1.3	70	1.3
8	Jun_1_2020	2100.85	2405.42	2439.47	2428.33	2422.34	2447.39	2471.28(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	544	60	635	270	2.93	65%	0.29	45.6	2.87%	1.4	1.4	59	1
9	May_29_2020	2094.78	2396.41	2433.23	2421.3	2413.51	2416.34	2437.43(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	252	-0	292	132	3.5	65%	0.27	27.5	2.89%	0.8	0.8	59	1.3
10	May_28_2020	2089.24	2392.42	2428.88	2423.45	2417.06	2397.3	2400.06(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-332	-70	-396	-140	3.18	65%	0.25	25.8	2.91%	0.2	0.2	57	0.9

11	May_27_2020	2084	2391.3	2426.79	2442.95	2432.62	2410.68	2409.75(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-595	-80	-709	-254	5	62%	0.25	38.3	2.91%	-0.5	0.4	61	1.5
12	May_26_2020	2078.81	2386.74	2422.49	2450.72	2457.58	2436.82	2423.16(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-292	-50	-354	-105	3.56	62%	0.36	39.5	2.98%	-1.3	0.7	67	1.3
13	May_22_2020	2071.41	2384.28	2420.95	2451.23	2463.13	2454.57	2436.12(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-270	-10	-331	-87	2.83	58%	0.27	40.4	2.99%	-1.5	1	70	1.2
14	May_21_2020	2065.91	2382.5	2415.43	2445.94	2456.64	2478.34	2448.18(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	255	70	285	164	5.1	57%	0.19	41.8	3.02%	-1.5	1.3	75	1.1
15	May_20_2020	2061.97	2379.58	2407.23	2434.34	2439.29	2471.7	2497.57(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	763	100	884	400	3.95	57%	0.33	36.2	3.03%	1.2	2.5	66	1.5

16	May_19_2020	2055.28	2372.22	2392.04	2408.79	2411.95	2434.94	2448.6(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	580	70	672	302	4.3	57%	0.3	32.1	3.02%	1.2	1.9	58	0.9
17	May_18_2020	2049.07	2366.15	2378.93	2390.68	2391.57	2406.89	2425.66(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	354	50	409	189	4.35	57%	0.28	27.5	3.02%	1.4	1.6	64	1.4
18	May_15_2020	2043.34	2364.06	2367.96	2386.88	2380.43	2388.96	2409.69(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	176	20	201	100	4.21	57%	0.27	57.3	3.02%	2.6	1.4	53	1
19	May_14_2020	2037.76	2361.94	2355.93	2380.75	2381.58	2376.26	2390.16(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	-10	87	43	3.64	57%	0.18	97.9	3.04%	-0.2	0.8	47	0.8
20	May_13_2020	2034.09	2362.49	2352.33	2375.85	2380.17	2371.91	2369.84(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-190	-20	-224	-87	4.77	57%	0.3	139.6	3.04%	-1.8	0.2	46	0.1

21	May_12_2020	2028.04	2359.58	2352.61	2372.2	2378	2386.9	2358.06(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	39	30	45	20	3.05	57%	0.29	160.6	3.05%	-0.8	-0	50	1.2
22	May_11_2020	2022.16	2356.16	2348.42	2364.04	2371.15	2388.42	2406.66(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	452	60	532	210	3.25	57%	0.32	133.3	3.03%	1.7	0.9	58	2.3
23	May_8_2020	2015.7	2344.92	2344.51	2345.84	2350.15	2369.09	2379.01(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	367	60	435	161	3.2	58%	0.3	148.5	3.02%	1.3	0.6	48	2
24	May_7_2020	2009.59	2329.4	2346.51	2327.41	2332.18	2353.89	2365.67(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	446	70	530	193	3.38	58%	0.3	98.1	3.05%	1.2	0.4	49	1.4
25	May_6_2020	2003.51	2314.38	2349.18	2326.07	2316.18	2331.21	2351.6(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	174	30	211	64	3.09	58%		86.2	3.05%	1.3	0.4	44	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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