Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 16, 2019

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 19, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $1769.3600 (0.45%) ($1769.3600 - $1769.3600) on Mon. Dec. 16, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $1769.3600(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(41%)    QQQ(40%)    IVW(39%)    IWF(39%)    SKYY(38%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    VXX(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    TBT(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $1755.67(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1755.12(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1762.61(0.38%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $886.449b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2019	1779.05	1762.61	1755.12	1755.67	1759.73	1765.43	1769.36(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	286	30	350	94	3.08	44%	-0.1	-4.8	1.35%	1.6	0.3	49	2.2
2	Dec_13_2019	1780.8	1761.11	1755.95	1751.59	1752.24	1760.57	1761.5(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	253	30	311	80	2.67	44%	-0.12	-19.5	1.36%	1	0	55	2.2
3	Dec_12_2019	1782.95	1760.81	1759.49	1749.46	1749.12	1754.03	1759.64(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	349	20	420	136	3.09	44%	-0.14	-28.9	1.37%	1.8	-0.1	58	1.6
4	Dec_11_2019	1785.38	1760.54	1764.8	1745.79	1746.92	1743.92	1748.42(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	17	-10	26	-11	2.02	44%	-0.14	-41.4	1.37%	0.3	-0.5	53	0.3
5	Dec_10_2019	1787.87	1762.01	1769.5	1748.22	1745.14	1744.21	1739.41(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-282	-10	-329	-141	2.45	44%	-0.14	-43.4	1.37%	-1.6	-1	49	-0.1

6	Dec_9_2019	1790.36	1763.71	1773.35	1754.4	1750.42	1749.92	1749(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10	18	12	2.37	44%	-0.12	-43.7	1.37%	0.3	-0.7	51	-0.2
7	Dec_6_2019	1792.53	1765.48	1773.61	1761.04	1755.76	1746.07	1750.84(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-300	-50	-357	-127	3.1	44%	-0.13	-37	1.37%	0	-0.7	56	1.1
8	Dec_5_2019	1794.83	1767.29	1772.63	1771.27	1763.59	1750.93	1741.3(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-738	-60	-875	-325	2.82	48%	-0.14	-22.7	1.37%	0	-1.1	48	0.6
9	Dec_4_2019	1797.36	1770	1773.7	1786.69	1778.77	1765.44	1760.55(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-590	-70	-707	-237	2.69	48%	-0.14	-0.8	1.39%	0	-0.4	53	0.4
10	Dec_3_2019	1799.88	1771.95	1773.24	1793.82	1793.23	1776.25	1770.33(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-592	-70	-711	-234	3.5	48%	-0.14	15	1.39%	0	-0.1	48	-0.5

11	Dec_2_2019	1802.41	1773.53	1771.65	1794.65	1799.7	1792.1	1782.17(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-501	-20	-604	-193	3.86	48%	-0.13	21.6	1.39%	0	0.4	52	0.6
12	Nov_29_2019	1804.72	1773.79	1767.36	1787.34	1797.77	1810.21	1802.02(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	364	70	420	197	1.89	48%	-0.23	18.6	1.39%	0	1.1	52	1.5
13	Nov_27_2019	1808.84	1772.36	1762.32	1773.78	1783.67	1807.3	1818.4(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	1077	110	1266	510	2.93	48%	-0.09	25	1.38%	0	2	55	1.9
14	Nov_26_2019	1810.54	1770.15	1755.19	1759.23	1762.63	1785.32	1796.2(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	1012	100	1198	453	3.15	48%	-0.09	12.5	1.38%	0	1.2	47	2
15	Nov_25_2019	1812.1	1768.35	1752.67	1750.47	1749.98	1760.05	1774.44(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	718	40	858	299	3.41	48%	-0.09	0	1.37%	0	0.3	38	2.1

16	Nov_22_2019	1813.78	1768.3	1751.95	1746.03	1744.48	1739.94	1745.65(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-20	-33	-70	2.41	40%	-0.04	-8.6	1.41%	0	-1.1	26	1.6
17	Nov_21_2019	1814.47	1769.26	1755.66	1744.38	1746.12	1739.92	1734.23(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-307	-20	-343	-198	2.59	40%	-0.11	-6.5	1.41%	0	-1.2	30	1.3
18	Nov_20_2019	1816.54	1766.55	1760.97	1748.52	1746.92	1749.02	1745.61(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-156	10	-167	-121	2.77	40%	-0.11	-21.8	1.42%	0	-0.7	40	1.3
19	Nov_19_2019	1818.45	1767.53	1765.81	1750.06	1749.25	1752.33	1752.44(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	205	10	256	52	2.27	40%	-0.09	-23.3	1.42%	0	-0.5	40	1.5
20	Nov_18_2019	1820.17	1768.3	1770.58	1755.23	1749.46	1744.82	1752.21(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-168	-30	-187	-111	2.78	40%	-0.08	-19	1.43%	0	-0.6	49	1.8

21	Nov_15_2019	1821.56	1769.98	1775.79	1759.14	1755.99	1746.17	1737.43(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-402	-40	-465	-211	3.86	40%	-0.09	-8	1.43%	0	-1.1	40	2
22	Nov_14_2019	1823.24	1771.28	1781.39	1768.67	1764.57	1754.1	1754.91(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	5480	-50	6449	2573	2.26	37%	-0.08	5.7	1.43%	0	-0.6	50	1.5
23	Nov_13_2019	1824.68	1772.94	1783.99	1775.24	1437.41	1765.81	1753.29(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	5327	1030	6260	2529	3.02	40%	-0.07	23.6	1.49%	0	-0.7	73	1.3
24	Nov_12_2019	1825.94	1774.25	1787.1	1783.64	1110.82	1775.04	1778.33(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24528	3050	28845	11578	2	40%	-0.07	41.9	1.5%	0	0.1	53	1.5
25	Nov_11_2019	1827.31	1773.78	1785.86	1788.36	778.45	1109.01	1771.75(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	24230	1280	28492	11442	1.88	40%		55.9	1.51%	0	-0.1	52	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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