Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 16, 2019

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Apr. 18, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $1907.8600 (1.96%) ($1882.2900 - $1917.5100) on Thu. May. 16, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $1907.8600(1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(42%)    QQQ(41%)    IVW(40%)    IWF(40%)    SKYY(39%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-5%)    IFRA(-4%)    UNG(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $1866.33(2.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1896.39(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1903.81(0.21%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $955.838b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2019	1731.5	1903.81	1896.39	1866.33	1853.85	1873.76	1907.86(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1060	60	1269	432	2.29	58%	0.26	3.3	1.28%	0	0.1	43	-0.9
2	May_15_2019	1726.99	1901.82	1895.63	1864.76	1850.98	1843.03	1871.12(1.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	41	-50	72	-52	2.29	54%	0.09	4.2	1.27%	0	-0.9	47	-1.1
3	May_14_2019	1725.49	1901.8	1899.84	1873.9	1862.79	1833.93	1840.05(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1283	-130	-1490	-663	2.28	50%	0.3	14.6	1.27%	0	-1.7	43	-1.3
4	May_13_2019	1720.32	1902.7	1908.98	1890.41	1883.62	1858.94	1822.62(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-1615	-100	-1887	-800	2.81	50%	0.27	27.5	1.27%	0	-2.2	37	-1.5
5	May_10_2019	1715.69	1904.49	1921.4	1915.94	1908.08	1891.65	1889.98(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-846	-70	-995	-398	2.78	60%	0.26	51.4	1.21%	0	-0.4	53	-1.4

6	May_9_2019	1711.22	1902.6	1927.59	1930.3	1919.96	1908.31	1900.01(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-857	-60	-1020	-366	2.63	60%	0.25	62.8	1.21%	0	-0.1	59	-1.8
7	May_8_2019	1707	1900.25	1928.4	1930.64	1934.07	1924.52	1916.85(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-152	-30	-194	-25	2.04	60%	0.22	64.2	1.21%	0	0.4	61	-2.1
8	May_7_2019	1703.19	1896.45	1927.22	1929.53	1930.15	1931.6	1922.58(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-379	10	-464	-125	3.03	60%	0.25	63.2	1.23%	0	0.7	62	-2.5
9	May_6_2019	1699.01	1892.87	1927.44	1930.32	1929.12	1943.62	1950.29(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	583	50	662	346	2.8	66%	0.22	67.9	1.24%	0	1.4	70	-2.5
10	May_3_2019	1695.28	1887.17	1921.28	1928.06	1926.72	1928.7	1961.76(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	549	10	619	338	3.04	66%	0.19	75.4	1.24%	0	1.9	73	-3.1

11	May_2_2019	1692.12	1879.96	1911.33	1925.89	1924.67	1914.63	1901.72(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-484	-40	-598	-142	1.91	57%	0.15	83.3	1.19%	0	0.6	66	-4.6
12	May_1_2019	1689.63	1876.05	1908.16	1925.98	1931.57	1924.73	1911.29(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-251	-20	-326	-27	1.57	41%	0.17	87.7	1.2%	0	0.9	68	0.4
13	Apr_30_2019	1686.84	1871.28	1903.7	1923.89	1928.03	1934.71	1926.53(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-37	30	-70	64	1.74	53%	0.18	88	1.42%	0	1.4	74	0.9
14	Apr_29_2019	1683.87	1865.63	1895.8	1923.4	1925.19	1938.42	1939(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	652	50	742	383	2.09	53%	0.19	94.4	1.53%	0	1.8	72	1
15	Apr_26_2019	1680.64	1857.72	1886.15	1913.13	1916.16	1921.35	1950.9(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	536	20	608	318	4.48	53%	0.16	90.7	1.58%	0	2.3	78	1.3

16	Apr_25_2019	1678.02	1848.74	1875.1	1895.23	1900.43	1911.96	1902.16(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	230	50	253	162	2.39	47%	0.14	78.7	1.57%	0	1.4	75	0.9
17	Apr_24_2019	1675.66	1842.03	1869.53	1887.67	1889.09	1910.98	1900.88(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	799	80	923	428	1.77	47%	0.15	66.8	1.57%	0	1.5	75	1.1
18	Apr_23_2019	1673.21	1836.14	1863.01	1880.07	1877.87	1888.9	1924.04(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	821	40	949	435	2.41	47%	0.1	66.2	1.56%	0	2.3	85	1.6
19	Apr_22_2019	1671.62	1828.43	1854.94	1864.24	1865.24	1867.21	1887.69(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	155	10	169	113	1.9	35%	0.12	65.2	1.55%	0	1.7	81	1.6
20	Apr_18_2019	1669.58	1822.22	1849.7	1855.29	1857.46	1866.84	1861.4(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	181	40	200	125	1.43	35%	0.11	68.3	1.62%	0	1.2	84	1.9

21	Apr_17_2019	1667.67	1819.84	1845.65	1851.91	1852.69	1863.28	1864.32(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	502	40	576	281	1.45	35%	0.18	87.4	1.62%	0	1.4	86	1.8
22	Apr_16_2019	1664.72	1816.35	1841.27	1848.51	1847.02	1848.08	1862.92(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	241	0	266	164	1.56	35%	0.18	100.6	1.62%	0	1.5	87	2.1
23	Apr_15_2019	1661.79	1811.33	1836.37	1843.23	1842.84	1842.1	1844.85(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-101	-0	-136	4	1.9	43%	0.22	106	1.62%	0	1	72	2.1
24	Apr_12_2019	1658.21	1806.35	1833.43	1844.2	1843.73	1845.95	1842.96(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	103	10	101	107	1.54	43%	0.12	104.3	1.67%	0	1	74	2.4
25	Apr_11_2019	1656.27	1800.08	1827.62	1843.14	1842.11	1843.58	1844.5(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	123	0	124	120	1.45	43%		100	1.69%	0	1	77	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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