Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 10, 2020

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $238.1050 (-1%) ($236.2100 - $240.6700) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $238.1050(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(41%)    SPLV(39%)    DIA(37%)    IBB(33%)    IVE(31%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    XLC(-6%)    IYT(-6%)    TLT(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV -1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $249.47
5 Day Moving Average   $241.03(-1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $244.44(-2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $249.47(-4.56%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $139.625b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(63%) Average negative next day return: -1.27%(37%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 2.32%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -2.64%(29%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 3.44%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.45%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2020	232.52	249.47	244.44	241.03	240.61	239.54	238.11(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	-40	-68	-110	1.53	74%	0.22	-42.5	1.84%	-1	-1.8	26	1.7
2	Aug_7_2020	232.01	250.12	245.98	242.86	241.96	240.94	240.5(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-40	-49	-100	1.35	74%	0.19	-43.2	1.83%	-0.6	-1.6	26	1.6
3	Aug_6_2020	231.58	250.62	246.77	243.65	243.51	241.68	241.53(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-64	-50	-49	-107	1.72	74%	0.16	-50.2	1.84%	-0.6	-1.7	31	1.7
4	Aug_5_2020	231.2	251.17	247.85	244.53	244.14	242.97	241.46(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-96	-40	-87	-121	1.73	74%	0.15	-53	1.84%	-1.3	-1.9	37	1.7
5	Aug_4_2020	230.86	251.73	249.39	246	245.12	245.33	243.56(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-0	-32	-85	1.9	74%	0.24	-35.2	1.86%	-0.6	-1.8	41	1.6

6	Aug_3_2020	230.3	252.24	250.82	248.4	246.47	245.31	247.24(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-60	-30	-64	1.85	74%	0.2	-0.6	1.85%	0.7	-1.2	44	1.3
7	Jul_31_2020	229.84	252.69	252.14	249.67	248.67	244.9	244.48(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-102	-120	-111	-75	2.84	74%	0.27	33.9	1.86%	-1	-2	47	1.5
8	Jul_30_2020	229.21	253.39	253.57	250.34	250.85	247.63	245.89(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-122	-80	-139	-71	1.96	74%	0.21	68	1.91%	-0.8	-1.9	49	1.3
9	Jul_29_2020	228.73	253.89	254.57	251.61	251.37	252.44	248.84(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	30	-69	-31	3.28	74%	0.19	117.5	1.91%	-1.1	-1.5	48	1.6
10	Jul_28_2020	228.3	253.35	255.1	253.22	252.6	254.07	255.53(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	81	30	92	47	2.25	83%	0.25	87.9	1.88%	1.1	0.4	56	1.5

11	Jul_27_2020	227.72	252.25	254.9	253.7	253	250.3	253.6(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-80	-53	-7	2.14	83%	0.19	66.5	1.9%	0.9	0.2	52	1.5
12	Jul_24_2020	227.28	251.3	254.58	255.17	254.56	251.13	247.85(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-148	-100	-179	-54	2.19	81%	0.16	59.7	1.9%	-1.3	-0.4	38	1.2
13	Jul_23_2020	226.92	250.77	254.85	257.29	257.69	255.71	252.22(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-50	-78	-8	2.47	81%	0.17	65.3	1.9%	0.1	0.2	40	1.3
14	Jul_22_2020	226.54	249.87	254.84	257.85	258.66	257.99	256.91(-0.39%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-18	-10	-28	12	1.59	81%	0.24	65.5	1.89%	0.3	0.7	53	1.8
15	Jul_21_2020	226	248.85	254.3	257.14	257.77	259.68	257.91(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	60	35	51	1.82	81%	0.2	66.6	1.89%	0.3	0.9	76	1.8

16	Jul_20_2020	225.54	247.68	253.77	256.23	256.38	259.33	260.97(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	135	80	142	112	1.49	81%	0.28	70.1	1.91%	1	1.3	82	2.2
17	Jul_17_2020	224.91	246.52	253.18	253.98	253.74	255.86	258.43(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	101	60	99	108	2.03	81%	0.25	76.3	1.9%	1.7	1.2	79	1.9
18	Jul_16_2020	224.35	245.13	253.03	252.13	252.03	253.42	255.05(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	79	40	68	110	1.53	84%	0.18	76.4	1.91%	1	1	73	1.5
19	Jul_15_2020	223.94	243.72	252.99	251.43	250.89	251.63	253.36(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	54	10	33	116	1.62	84%	0.2	71.3	1.97%	0.7	0.9	74	1.4
20	Jul_14_2020	223.5	242.42	251.37	251.06	250.49	250.64	253.35(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-0	8	105	2.34	87%	0.16	70.2	1.99%	0.8	1	68	0.9

21	Jul_13_2020	223.14	240.8	249.37	250.96	250.82	250.14	249.7(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-20	-22	91	2.53	87%	0.12	64	2.04%	0.3	0.8	68	0
22	Jul_10_2020	222.87	239.28	247.82	252.26	251.61	250.35	249.2(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-31	-40	-67	78	1.31	87%	0.13	60.9	2.04%	-0.8	0.8	61	1.2
23	Jul_9_2020	222.59	237.81	246.54	254.04	253.75	251.5	251.54(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-19	-70	-59	102	1.71	87%	0.13	62.6	2.05%	-0.3	1.1	69	0.8
24	Jul_8_2020	222.3	236.54	244.7	254.75	255.29	252.87	251.5(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-14	-60	-58	119	1.96	89%	0.14	68.9	2.05%	-1	1.2	72	0.9
25	Jul_7_2020	221.99	235.19	243.13	251.55	254.85	256	252.87(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	70	43	145	2.35	89%		63.9	2.14%	-1.7	1.5	72	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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