Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $114.2800 (-6.66%) ($114.2800 - $114.2800) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.91% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $114.2800(-6.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FIVG(64%)    IVW(64%)    XLK(64%)    DRIV(63%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -1.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-44%)    UUP(-32%)    VXX(-13%)    IGOV(-4%)    TLT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.455% (StdDev 2.91%)
Hourly BBV -1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $117.59(-2.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.52(-1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.86(4.02%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   40.9%
Market Cap   $102.852b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 6.89% (three month std-dev: 2.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 3.57%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.74%(67%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.68%(13%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(87%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 5.02%(27%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.07%(73%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2021	86.72	109.86	116.52	117.59	117.14	118.42	114.28(-6.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	70	-29	109	8.88	72%	0.64	44.7	2.91%	-1	0.6	64	0.2
2	Feb_24_2021	86.17	109.1	115.81	117.43	118.45	119.37	122.44(5.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	117	80	96	178	7.89	78%	0.76	37.1	2.78%	2	1.7	76	1.4
3	Feb_23_2021	85.52	108.19	114.12	116.06	116.17	115.86	116.19(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-20	-32	122	8.47	78%	0.68	32.9	2.73%	-0.2	1.1	65	1.3
4	Feb_22_2021	84.94	107.73	113.15	116.48	116.03	117.52	115.53(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	80	10	155	6.2	78%	0.7	39.7	2.79%	-0.6	1.1	67	1.1
5	Feb_19_2021	84.35	107.23	111.76	116.66	116.72	116.49	119.52(5.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	87	-10	53	190	19.1	81%	0.74	42.9	2.74%	1	1.8	75	1.5

6	Feb_18_2021	83.73	106.58	110.09	115.35	115.95	114.53	113.47(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-70	-34	152	6.65	79%	0.67	49.3	2.68%	-0.7	1.1	64	1.3
7	Feb_17_2021	83.17	106.26	108.78	113.83	115.82	116.95	115.6(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	67	120	33	168	6.49	79%	0.7	50.2	2.67%	-0.6	1.6	69	1.4
8	Feb_16_2021	82.59	105.87	107.55	111.78	113.39	117.36	118.3(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	121	290	104	172	7.9	79%	1.05	52.7	2.64%	0.9	2.3	61	1.2
9	Feb_12_2021	81.73	105.05	105.75	109.32	110.15	114.7	116.42(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	150	310	151	148	7.09	80%	0.75	54.5	2.66%	1.2	2.4	56	1.5
10	Feb_11_2021	81.12	104.44	103.76	106.17	107.54	109.42	112.98(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	110	160	120	79	10.63	80%	0.71	55.7	2.67%	1.8	2.2	55	1.3

11	Feb_10_2021	80.55	103.69	102.51	104.17	104.47	105.61	105.87(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	90	17	1	4.28	76%	0.61	55	2.57%	0.5	0.6	47	1
12	Feb_9_2021	80.06	103.42	101.77	102.97	103.75	105.66	105.34(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	44	150	63	-15	3.77	76%	0.63	58.9	2.61%	1	0.5	46	1.1
13	Feb_8_2021	79.56	103.07	101.7	102.63	102.38	103.34	105.98(5.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	23	60	43	-36	4.94	76%	0.65	68.7	2.6%	2.2	0.8	46	1.1
14	Feb_5_2021	79.05	102.57	101.79	101.65	101.79	101.84	100.71(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	10	13	-53	6.3	77%	0.59	68.4	2.54%	-0.7	-0.5	49	1.1
15	Feb_4_2021	78.59	102.33	102.33	100.9	101.89	101.41	102.98(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-0	13	-58	5.13	78%	0.61	67.9	2.67%	0.3	0.1	48	1.1

16	Feb_3_2021	78.11	101.78	102.78	100.59	100.39	101.74	99.85(-3.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	90	-14	-55	5.36	78%	0.57	64	2.71%	-1	-0.4	54	0.7
17	Feb_2_2021	77.67	101.33	103.59	100.32	100.78	102.37	103.63(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	54	120	75	-9	3.89	81%	0.63	59.6	2.65%	1.4	0.4	56	-0.1
18	Feb_1_2021	77.18	100.55	104.1	100.69	99.46	99.03	101.1(4.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-70	-26	-24	6.77	81%	0.61	56.2	2.65%	0.8	0.1	56	-1.3
19	Jan_29_2021	76.71	99.88	104.35	102.07	100.57	99.19	96.97(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-140	-59	-6	6.18	81%	0.56	63.2	2.62%	-1.3	-0.4	56	-2.7
20	Jan_28_2021	76.28	99.47	105.29	103.96	103.32	99.89	101.41(2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-39	-250	-65	39	5.52	83%	0.63	67	2.56%	-0.3	0.3	62	-2.2

21	Jan_27_2021	75.8	98.68	105.1	105.3	104.56	101.95	98.47(-6.68%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-90	-200	-135	47	7.67	82%	0.58	67.6	2.59%	-2	-0	64	-3
22	Jan_26_2021	75.36	98.06	105.4	107.22	107	106.75	105.52(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-20	-20	155	4.58	87%	0.43	69.3	2.42%	-1.7	0.9	76	0.3
23	Jan_25_2021	75.04	97.07	104.72	107.96	107.46	107.18	107.98(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	54	-30	2	209	7.2	87%	0.64	69.1	2.42%	-0.1	1.2	82	0.8
24	Jan_22_2021	74.56	95.87	103.53	106.99	107.79	107.26	106.4(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	58	-10	2	224	6.21	87%	0.63	64.7	2.43%	-0.4	1.2	82	1.5
25	Jan_21_2021	74.09	94.82	102.43	106.82	106.97	107.73	108.13(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	72	50	11	254	5.22	87%		63.3	2.42%	0.6	1.5	83	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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