Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 15, 2021

Trading Signals: AMAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(Applied Materials, Inc.)
AMAT latest price $103.1000 (-2.33%) ($103.1000 - $103.1000) on Fri. Jan. 15, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $103.1000(-2.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMAT advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMAT advances 8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FIVG(64%)    DRIV(63%)    IVW(63%)    XLK(63%)    IWF(62%)
Factors Impacting AMAT price   AMAT will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-43%)    UUP(-31%)    VXX(-13%)    TLT(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.04(2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.63(6.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.38(12.83%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   80%
Market Cap   $92.79b

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in the provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce new chip and advanced display. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets. The Semiconductor Systems segment includes semiconductor capital equipment for deposition, etch, ion implantation, rapid thermal processing, chemical mechanical planarization, metrology and inspection, and wafer level packaging. The Applied Global Services segment provides solutions to optimize equipment, performance, and productivity. The Display and Adjacent Markets segment offers products for manufacturing liquid crystal displays, organic light-emitting diodes; coating systems and display technologies for television; personal computers, tablets, smart phones, and consumer-oriented devices. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. AMAT price fluctuates within 7.44% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.92%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.08%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.92%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -3.36%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.8%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.8%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2021	72.56	91.38	96.63	101.04	101.8	104.33	103.1(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	125	200	80	260	6.75	86%	0.58	52.8	2.33%	0.1	1.7	80	0.7
2	Jan_14_2021	72.14	90.6	94.96	99.54	100.53	101.96	105.56(7.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	148	130	109	263	10.24	89%	0.6	51.7	2.31%	1.5	2.4	87	1.2
3	Jan_13_2021	71.71	89.66	93.05	97.42	98.04	99.27	98.35(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	78	110	30	221	3.99	87%	0.5	50	2.16%	-0.3	1.7	76	1.4
4	Jan_12_2021	71.35	89.13	91.66	95.91	97.2	99.1	100.2(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	138	180	108	226	5.77	87%	0.52	45.5	2.14%	1.3	2.4	78	1.1
5	Jan_11_2021	70.98	88.47	90.08	93.75	94.84	96.81	98.01(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	112	180	89	180	6.1	87%	0.52	38.7	2.14%	1.2	2.5	77	0.2

6	Jan_8_2021	70.61	87.92	88.76	91.51	92.69	95.29	95.61(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	116	240	107	143	7.54	87%	0.47	31.1	2.13%	0.8	2.5	68	1.6
7	Jan_7_2021	70.28	87.49	87.56	89.65	90.5	92.87	94.96(4.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	109	210	112	98	6.95	87%	0.43	22.5	2.14%	1.3	3	62	1.5
8	Jan_6_2021	69.98	87.18	86.55	88.08	88.32	90.1	90.76(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	68	150	75	48	7.45	86%	0.36	20.7	2.08%	1.3	2	55	-0.4
9	Jan_5_2021	69.73	87.06	86.05	86.77	87.4	88.13	89.43(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	54	80	67	13	5.24	87%	0.33	18.2	2.08%	1.4	1.4	50	-0.5
10	Jan_4_2021	69.5	87.01	85.68	85.86	86.11	86.55	86.82(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	40	7	-34	6.13	86%	0.35	20.2	2.11%	-0.1	-0.1	44	-1.6

11	Dec_31_2020	69.26	86.97	85.71	85.56	85.62	86.68	86.27(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	90	31	-30	4.52	80%	0.29	28.1	2.19%	0.5	-0.4	42	1.2
12	Dec_30_2020	69.06	86.94	85.93	85.11	85.38	85.67	87.1(3.38%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	21	30	39	-33	5.46	80%	0.35	26.4	2.19%	1.3	0.1	46	1.3
13	Dec_29_2020	68.82	86.81	86.01	84.82	84.61	84.55	84.25(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10	-22	-69	2.28	79%	0.28	30.4	2.16%	0.4	-1.4	25	0.2
14	Dec_28_2020	68.63	86.76	86.46	85.21	84.95	85.1	84.85(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	0	2	-54	2.44	79%	0.38	47.1	2.16%	0.4	-1	32	1.2
15	Dec_24_2020	68.37	86.69	86.79	85.47	85.29	84.67	85.34(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-60	-10	-58	1.4	79%	0.31	59.2	2.14%	-2.4	-0.6	34	1.3

16	Dec_23_2020	68.16	86.51	87.07	85.9	85.44	84.81	84.01(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-70	-48	-61	4.55	79%	0.28	67.4	2.14%	-1.7	-1	46	0.5
17	Dec_22_2020	67.97	86.49	87.5	86.86	86.32	85.9	85.64(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-50	-21	-26	3.89	79%	0.31	94.1	2.12%	-0.7	-0.3	55	-0.7
18	Dec_21_2020	67.76	86.27	87.92	87.38	87.11	86.07	86.2(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-90	-28	-4	3.68	79%	0.33	100.3	2.12%	-0.8	-0	62	-1.6
19	Dec_18_2020	67.54	85.85	88.21	87.9	87.63	86.73	86.15(-1.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-31	-80	-47	17	14.11	79%	0.33	92.1	2.12%	-2.1	0.1	68	1.2
20	Dec_17_2020	67.32	85.45	88.5	88.3	88.31	88.15	87.52(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10	-12	58	3.42	79%	0.37	94.6	2.11%	-1.4	0.5	73	1.6

21	Dec_16_2020	67.07	84.9	88.38	88.41	88.46	88.52	88.77(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	10	5	84	3.03	79%	0.4	91.9	2.1%	-0.1	0.9	82	1.5
22	Dec_15_2020	66.8	84.21	88.06	88.25	88.29	88.47	88.27(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	20	-1	87	4.6	79%	0.38	88.9	2.11%	-0.4	0.8	69	0.8
23	Dec_14_2020	66.55	83.54	87.69	88.55	88.21	88.41	88.78(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	29	0	2	109	4.94	80%	0.44	89.4	2.11%	0.6	1	76	-0.6
24	Dec_11_2020	66.26	82.77	87.1	88.6	88.5	88.12	88.15(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	-30	-2	129	4.68	80%	0.36	87.9	2.12%	-0.1	1	81	0.3
25	Dec_10_2020	66.02	81.89	86.58	88.74	88.71	88.02	88.1(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-60	-18	147	4.26	80%		82.6	2.12%	-1	1.1	78	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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