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     Wed. Oct. 28, 2020



Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Oct. 28, 2020)

(ALKERMES PLC)

ALKS latest price $15.4100 (-3.05%) ($15.3500 - $15.7350) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  ALKS declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ALKS declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ALKS decline at-1.4% a week (45% probability)
  XBI(51%)    IBB(50%)    ARKG(41%)    XLV(41%)    GBTC(40%)  
Factors Impacting ALKS price  ALKS will advance at least 0.1% in a week (22% probabilities).
  VXX(-27%)    TLT(-22%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-20%)    BND(-18%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.4
 
Relative Volatility   -0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   -3
Hourly Trend   -1.51% [$15.67(-0.24), $15.91(-0.22)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$15.47, $15.47]


ALKS Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  10%
Bullish Price Move  2.2%
Bearish Probability  90%
Bearish Price Move  -2.2%
Recommended Position Size  -36%
Latest Price  $15.4100
Next Day Open Price  $15.41(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $15.28(-0.86%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $15.12 - $15.62
Resistance Level  $16.54
5 Day Moving Average  $15.98(-3.57%)
10 Day Moving Average  $16.4(-6.04%)
20 Day Moving Average  $16.54(-6.83%)
To recent high  -23.6%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $2.451b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Oct. 29, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $19.45 ($15.00 - $24.00)
  11 analysts (last updated on Wed. Oct. 14, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  26.22%
% to Low Target Price  -2.66%
% to High Target Price  55.74%
 


  
 
 


Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 2.22%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. ALKS price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_28_2020-23.6%-0-1.2%,-0.4(-0)-3.6%,-1(-0.3)-1.1%,-0.3-1.20%-0.8%-2-301.6NAN%-3.20.83   15.41(-3.05%)15.35-15.74Growing Downtrend 15.28(-0.86%)15.12-15.6231
2Oct_27_2020-23%-0.8-1.1%,-0.4(-0.1)-2.5%,-0.8(-0.4)-1.3%,-0.4-1.20%-0.2%-1.4-0.9-1.51.4NAN%-0.60.66   15.9(-0.09%)15.62-16.06Growing Downtrend 15.81(-0.57%)15.7-16.0353
3Oct_26_2020-23%-0.8-0.9%,-0.3(0)-1.3%,-0.5(-0.6)-1.2%,-0.4-0.90.44%0.4%-1.5-1.4-1.71.3NAN%-0.20.83   15.91(-2.96%)15.65-16.37Downtrend 15.87(-0.27%)15.8-16.0449
4Oct_23_2020-20.6%-3.9% -0.9%,-0.3(0.1)0.3%,0.1(-0.3)-0.9%,-0.3-1.20.18%1.1%-0.7-2.1-1.31.2NAN%0.80.7   16.4(0.8%)16.1-16.51N/A 16.48(0.46%)16.37-16.5760
5Oct_22_2020-21.2%-3.1% -1.1%,-0.4(-0)1.1%,0.4(-0.3)-1.1%,-0.4-1.80.06%1.3%-1-2.8-1.61.2NAN%0.61.49   16.27(-0.09%)16.11-16.75N/A 16.41(0.89%)16.27-16.5353
 
6Oct_21_2020-21.2%-3.2% -1.1%,-0.4(-0)2%,0.8(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.4-1.5-0.31%1.6%-1-3.4-1.51.1NAN%0.11.49   16.28(-3.87%)16.23-17.02N/A 16.45(1.04%)16.34-16.5449
7Oct_20_2020-18%-7.4% -1%,-0.4(0)2.3%,0.9(0)-0.4%,-0.1-1.20.36%1.3%0.4-0.6-0.31.2NAN%0.21.27   16.94(0.09%)16.66-17.05N/A 16.95(0.06%)16.84-17.0455
8Oct_19_2020-18.1%-7.2% -1.1%,-0.4(-0.1)2.2%,0.8(0)-0.8%,-0.3-0.3-0.06%0.9%0.3-1.1-0.21.2NAN%1.21.14   16.92(-1.23%)16.75-17.22N/A 16.93(0.06%)16.82-17.0251
9Oct_16_2020-17.1%-8.6% -0.7%,-0.2(-0.1)2.1%,0.7(0.1)0.4%,0.1-00%-0.1%0.6-1.8-0.51.4NAN%0.90.95   17.13(-0.7%)17.1-17.49Uptrend Reversal 17.3(0.99%)17.16-17.3954
10Oct_15_2020-16.5%-9.3% -0.5%,-0.1(-0.1)1.8%,0.5(0.1)0.4%,0.1-0.90.17%-0.9%0.6-0.8-0.41.6NAN%0.70.9   17.25(1.2%)16.96-17.5N/A 17.25(-0.01%)17.01-17.4457
 
11Oct_14_2020-17.5%-8% -0.2%,-0.1(-0)1.5%,0.4(0.3)1.2%,0.3-0.3-0.41%-1.4%0.2-0.3-0.81.7NAN%0.90.64   17.05(-1.25%)17-17.45Uptrend Reversal 17.26(1.25%)17.08-17.3852
12Oct_13_2020-16.5%-9.4% -0.2%,-0(-0)0.5%,0.1(0.2)1.2%,0.31.80.17%-2%0.40.3-0.71.8NAN%0.91.44   17.26(-1.6%)17.04-17.93Rebound 17.13(-0.73%)17.33-17.0550
13Oct_12_2020-15.1%-11.2% -0.1%,-0(0.1)-0.4%,-0.1(0.4)2.1%,0.52.1-0.11%-2.4%0.82.4-0.51.8NAN%1.32.87   17.54(4.06%)16.96-19.11N/A 17.45(-0.53%)17.26-17.651
14Oct_8_2020-18.4%-6.8% -0.4%,-0.1(0)-2.2%,-0.6(0.3)0.8%,0.21.50.18%-2.9%-0.21.7-0.81.8NAN%1.10.86   16.86(-0.59%)16.65-17.18Downtrend Consolidation 16.79(-0.41%)16.93-16.7536
15Oct_7_2020-17.9%-7.5% -0.5%,-0.1(0)-3.6%,-0.9(0.2)0.4%,0.10.60.24%-3.1%-02.2-0.51.8NAN%0.71.92   16.96(6.1%)15.78-17.09Downtrend Consolidation 16.82(-0.82%)16.96-16.7734
 
16Oct_6_2020-22.7%-1.3-0.5%,-0.1(-0)-4.5%,-1.1(0)-0.7%,-0.200.56%-3.2%-1.4-0.9-1.42NAN%0.31.3   15.98(-1.75%)15.69-16.55Downtrend 15.75(-1.43%)15.57-16.1730
17Oct_5_2020-21.2%-3.1% -0.5%,-0.1(-0)-4.6%,-1.1(-0)-0.8%,-0.2-0.9-0.62%-2.6%-1-1.3-1.51.9NAN%0.51.84   16.27(3.07%)15.8-16.55Downtrend 16.03(-1.48%)15.87-16.432
18Oct_2_2020-23.6%-0-0.3%,-0.1(-0.1)-4.5%,-1.1(-0.2)-1.1%,-0.3-1.2-0.51%-2.2%-1.8-1.5-1.41.9NAN%0.71.04   15.78(-2.8%)15.74-16.22Downtrend 15.58(-1.28%)15.4-1626
19Oct_1_2020-21.4%-0.50.1%,0(-0.1)-3.7%,-1(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.1-0.9-0.37%-1.1%-1.2-2.9-11.8NAN%0.91   16.24(-2.17%)15.97-16.87Correction 15.49(-4.62%)15.37-15.9637
20Sep_30_2020-19.7%-2.7% 0.3%,0.1(-0)-2.9%,-0.8(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.1-0.3-0.37%0.1%-0.71.2-0.41.8NAN%0.80.93   16.6(0.36%)16.21-16.62Correction 15.96(-3.86%)15.85-16.3845
 
21Sep_29_2020-19.9%-2.4% 0.4%,0.1(-0)-2.1%,-0.5(-0.3)-0.8%,-0.20.30%0.9%-0.80.6-0.31.8NAN%0.90.73   16.54(-2.07%)16.5-17.29Correction 16(-3.24%)15.91-16.3854
22Sep_28_2020-18.2%-4.5% 0.6%,0.1(0)-0.9%,-0.2(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.1-00.3%1.6%-0.30.201.8NAN%0.90.91   16.89(0.75%)16.56-16.9Correction 16.52(-2.21%)16.44-16.8362
23Sep_25_2020-18.9%-3.7% 0.5%,0.1(0)0.1%,0(-0.4)-1.5%,-0.4-1.20.12%2.2%-0.4-0.30.41.8NAN%1.10.82   16.76(1.18%)16.44-16.8Range Bound 16.79(0.17%)16.82-16.7659
24Sep_24_2020-19.8%-2.5% 0.4%,0.1(-0)1.5%,0.4(-0.4)-2.1%,-0.5-1.2-0.49%2.8%-0.7-0.70.51.9NAN%1.20.9   16.57(-1.55%)16.3-16.89Uptrend Consolidation 16.71(0.82%)16.74-16.6156
25Sep_23_2020-18.5%-4.1% 0.5%,0.1(0)3.1%,0.7(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.3-1.5-0.59%3.4%-0.2-1.30.81.9NAN%1.33.06   16.83(-1.98%)16.82-17.62Uptrend Consolidation 16.9(0.39%)16.86-16.9956
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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