Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $524.4550 (0.22%) ($524.4550 - $525.0000) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $524.4550(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(64%)    XLK(64%)    IVW(63%)    IWF(63%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-40%)    UUP(-18%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $515.99(1.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $506.76(3.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $485.35(8.06%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.6%
Market Cap   $251.738b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 5.19% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.5%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.19%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.26%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.82%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.69%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2021	477.3	485.35	506.76	515.99	517.55	522.88	524.46(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	269	80	272	261	1.47	53%	0.1	72.8	1.8%	1	1.6	90	1.8
2	Apr_15_2021	476.8	481.15	502.6	511.89	513.04	516.13	523.29(2.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	211	50	201	240	2.12	53%	0.12	67.3	1.81%	1.4	1.7	92	1.8
3	Apr_14_2021	476.24	477.4	497.81	507.2	508.03	512.21	511.1(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	138	60	115	208	1.41	50%	0.11	68.5	1.8%	0.1	1.4	89	1.4
4	Apr_13_2021	475.73	474.41	493.41	503.74	505.4	509.94	514.66(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	259	70	258	260	2.19	50%	0.12	70.8	1.81%	1.5	1.8	84	1.7
5	Apr_12_2021	475.16	470.88	488.83	499.11	500.59	503.85	506.42(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	168	50	152	215	1.28	50%	0.1	75.3	1.8%	1.6	1.7	84	1.8

6	Apr_9_2021	474.7	467.67	484.67	496.09	496.82	500.87	504(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	176	60	159	225	1.89	48%	0.08	76.9	1.81%	1	1.8	86	1.5
7	Apr_8_2021	474.31	464.89	479.47	491.85	493.69	497.33	499.82(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	217	60	210	239	2.03	48%	0.09	81.2	1.82%	1	1.9	86	1.5
8	Apr_7_2021	473.88	461.69	474.73	486.97	489.23	492.78	493.82(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	181	60	171	209	1.18	51%	0.05	75.9	1.83%	0.7	1.8	73	1.4
9	Apr_6_2021	473.62	458.87	471.14	481.34	484.13	490.04	491.48(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	226	100	229	215	1.48	47%	0.07	63.7	1.85%	0.6	2	70	1.2
10	Apr_5_2021	473.3	455.34	467.18	476.89	477.9	485.69	491.35(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	265	120	280	220	2.89	47%	0.07	42.5	1.93%	1.2	2.2	73	1.3

11	Apr_1_2021	472.95	452.61	462.18	471.55	473.05	478.23	482.77(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	272	90	294	207	2.19	45%	0.03	31.9	1.93%	0.8	2.1	72	1.3
12	Mar_31_2021	472.8	450.28	457.91	465.25	468.53	470.12	475.42(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	152	40	161	125	3.15	45%	0.05	15	1.93%	1.4	2	62	1.2
13	Mar_30_2021	472.55	448.81	455.26	460.65	462.56	467.88	465.7(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	85	90	84	86	1.83	44%	-0.01	-5.8	1.91%	0.6	1.5	66	1.2
14	Mar_29_2021	472.61	448.72	453.86	459.29	459.01	466.94	469.2(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	263	120	293	174	2.61	44%	-0.05	-9.4	1.92%	1.2	1.7	66	1
15	Mar_26_2021	472.87	448.51	451.44	455.99	456.94	457.23	464.69(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	202	10	219	150	2.87	44%	-0.07	-17	1.9%	2	1.4	72	1.4

16	Mar_25_2021	473.21	448.15	449.25	451.43	453.95	451.09	451.25(-0.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0	-83	-30	-112	4	3.2	41%	-0.08	-36.6	1.87%	-0.7	0.3	56	1.1
17	Mar_24_2021	473.58	448.45	449.21	449.29	451.98	456.65	452.4(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	90	44	67	4.49	41%	-0	-47.9	1.89%	-1	0.3	57	1
18	Mar_23_2021	473.6	449.5	447.75	448.9	449.01	456.81	458.91(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	263	120	297	160	4.05	41%	0.03	-51.5	1.88%	0.8	0.7	53	1.1
19	Mar_22_2021	473.45	449.83	445.71	447.69	446.4	447.3	452.72(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	144	10	164	84	2.08	41%	0.01	-63.8	1.88%	1.3	0.2	43	1.9
20	Mar_19_2021	473.39	450.47	442.69	446.37	446.44	441.22	441.88(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-119	-80	-134	-72	2.34	38%	-0.04	-70.7	1.85%	-0.5	-0.6	38	1.6

21	Mar_18_2021	473.6	452.23	442.49	446.74	447.49	445.51	440.55(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-163	-30	-183	-104	2.4	38%	-0.03	-67.8	1.86%	-1.2	-0.7	42	1.2
22	Mar_17_2021	473.76	454.55	442.32	448.89	448.28	451.66	450.46(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	47	50	66	-10	2.09	40%	-0.06	-60.9	1.86%	0.7	-0.2	46	2.1
23	Mar_16_2021	474.05	456.4	441.99	446.2	448.24	449.48	452.85(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	149	30	194	12	2.03	40%	-0.05	-58.9	1.86%	1	-0.2	40	1.9
24	Mar_15_2021	474.29	458.65	443.11	443.45	444.27	444.91	446.1(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	20	-13	-83	1.95	40%	-0.09	-60.2	1.86%	-0.2	-0.6	42	2.4
25	Mar_12_2021	474.72	461.16	445.17	438.42	442.32	447.01	443.72(-1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	132	100	184	-23	1.82	42%		-61.5	1.87%	-0.5	-0.8	41	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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