Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 11, 2019

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $303.3550 (-0.3%) ($303.3550 - $303.3550) on Wed. Dec. 11, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $303.3550(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(74%)    XLK(74%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    QQQ(72%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-48%)    VXX(-22%)    TLT(-6%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV -1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $304.74(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $305.08(-0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $302.5(0.28%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $145.61b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.74%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.08%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.33%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2019	286.6	302.5	305.08	304.74	305.17	303.81	303.36(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-30	-63	-9	2.92	55%	-0.02	76.9	1.37%	-1	0.2	58	0.3
2	Dec_10_2019	286.65	301.97	305.53	304.57	305.08	305.61	304.26(-0.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-15	20	-24	14	2.16	55%	-0.01	70.5	1.37%	-1.4	0.5	58	-0.1
3	Dec_9_2019	286.69	301.32	305.65	304.49	304.65	306.53	306.95(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	40	93	72	2.86	52%	0	74.5	1.37%	0.3	1	68	-0.2
4	Dec_6_2019	286.69	300.6	304.93	303.65	303.87	304.56	306.1(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	20	78	62	1.69	52%	-0.01	81	1.4%	0	1	66	1.1
5	Dec_5_2019	286.73	299.85	304.25	304.34	303.03	302.78	303.02(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-37	-20	-56	20	1.63	52%	-0.02	92.9	1.4%	0	0.5	67	0.6

6	Dec_4_2019	286.79	299.11	303.99	305.57	304.67	303.19	302.54(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-21	-40	-43	44	1.48	52%	-0.01	98.6	1.41%	0	0.5	68	0.4
7	Dec_3_2019	286.83	298.48	303.84	306.62	306.32	303.29	303.83(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-85	-70	-124	33	1.63	52%	-0.02	113.5	1.41%	0	0.8	73	-0.5
8	Dec_2_2019	286.88	297.24	303.23	306.91	307.32	306.16	302.75(-2.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-81	-20	-124	47	2.74	52%	-0.02	101.5	1.41%	0	0.7	74	0.6
9	Nov_29_2019	286.94	296.05	302.76	306.22	307.96	309.36	309.58(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	109	50	98	140	1.14	55%	-0.06	93.9	1.39%	0	1.5	82	1.5
10	Nov_27_2019	287.12	294.48	301.26	304.06	305.38	308.48	309.13(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	134	80	131	141	1.46	52%	0.01	86.4	1.42%	0	1.6	83	1.9

11	Nov_26_2019	287.08	292.95	299.68	302.21	302.8	306.56	307.83(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	191	90	200	165	2.62	54%	0.02	87	1.42%	0	1.5	85	2
12	Nov_25_2019	287.03	291.15	298.05	300.77	300.81	302.28	305.28(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	143	30	145	135	2.16	54%	0.01	87	1.44%	0	1.4	77	2.1
13	Nov_22_2019	287.01	289.47	296.54	299.13	299.64	299.04	299.27(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	22	-10	2	83	1.46	50%	0.04	84.1	1.44%	0	1	83	1.6
14	Nov_21_2019	286.89	288.08	295.85	298.76	299.09	299.35	298.81(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	10	-20	92	1.56	52%	-0.02	83.3	1.45%	0	1	82	1.3
15	Nov_20_2019	286.96	286.65	295.06	297.92	298.75	300.25	299.88(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	96	40	80	143	1.83	52%	-0.01	75.4	1.47%	0	1.2	83	1.3

16	Nov_19_2019	286.98	284.78	293.82	296.68	297.44	298.84	300.61(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	112	40	98	155	2.13	52%	0	65.1	1.47%	0	1.3	83	1.5
17	Nov_18_2019	286.98	282.83	292.66	294.91	295.7	297.25	297.06(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	95	40	74	158	1.6	52%	0.01	55.2	1.47%	0	1.2	86	1.8
18	Nov_15_2019	286.95	281.31	290.8	293.55	294.38	296.04	297.43(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	121	50	105	170	2.01	52%	0.01	48.3	1.48%	0	1.4	86	2
19	Nov_14_2019	286.91	279.7	288.87	292.54	292.59	294.15	294.64(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	1032	40	1175	603	1.46	49%	0.02	43.3	1.48%	0	1.4	86	1.5
20	Nov_13_2019	286.85	278.38	287.24	291.78	237.2	292.72	293.65(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	1007	1080	1144	594	1.76	49%	0.02	41	1.53%	0	1.5	86	1.3

21	Nov_12_2019	286.79	277.27	285.72	290.52	181.96	291.03	291.78(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	3969	3070	4624	2002	2.03	47%	-0.03	39.8	1.54%	0	1.5	89	1.5
22	Nov_11_2019	286.88	276.55	283.75	290.04	126.98	181.68	290.27(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	3905	1330	4546	1983	1.73	47%	-0.03	45.4	1.56%	0	1.5	89	1.4
23	Nov_8_2019	286.97	275.84	281.89	287.49	72.5	72.9	292.34(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	82	-2200	51	175	1.61	50%	-0.03	40.9	1.56%	0	1.9	78	1.2
24	Nov_7_2019	287.07	275.01	279.72	284.58	71.57	72.27	290.86(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	62	-2180	32	150	3.18	50%	0	36	1.61%	0	2	78	1.1
25	Nov_6_2019	287.07	274.12	277.56	282	70.75	72.09	287.33(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	79	-2110	57	144	2.72	51%		32.2	1.61%	0	1.9	70	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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