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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Apple Inc)

AAPL latest price $106.8600 (-3.22%) ($106.0900 - $110.8800) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  AAPL declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  AAPL declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support AAPL decline at-2.8% a week (81% probability)
  XLK(85%)    QQQ(81%)    IVW(80%)    IWF(80%)    VUG(79%)  
Factors Impacting AAPL price  AAPL will advance at least 0.4% in a week (29% probabilities).
  VXX(-41%)    VIXM(-33%)    SHY(-18%)    BJK(-15%)    UUP(-14%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.8
 
Relative Volatility   0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly Trend   -2.42% [$109.05(-2.7), $111.76(-1.79)]
Last Hour Trend   0.28% [$107.5, $107.2]


AAPL Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  38%
Bullish Price Move  2.8%
Bearish Probability  63%
Bearish Price Move  -2.8%
Recommended Position Size  -9%
Latest Price  $106.8600
Next Day Open Price  $107.46(0.56%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $104.23(-2.46%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $98.53(-7.8%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $102.17 - $109.04
Resistance Level  $119.84
5 Day Moving Average  $112.05(-4.63%)
10 Day Moving Average  $113.52(-5.87%)
20 Day Moving Average  $119.84(-10.83%)
To recent high  -20.5%
To recent low  22.2%
Market Cap  $1831.127b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Oct. 29, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $116.18 ($80.00 - $150.00)
  37 analysts (last updated on Fri. Sep. 11, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  8.72%
% to Low Target Price  -25.14%
% to High Target Price  40.37%
 


  
 
 


Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 6.27% (three month std-dev: 2.75%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. AAPL price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-20.5%-22.2% -1.1%,-0.2(-0.1)-6.5%,-1(-0)-0.9%,-0.1-1.20.28%-5.3%-1.7-1.80.2(6.27%,NAN%)2.1283.5   106.86(-3.22%)106.09-110.88Downtrend 104.23(-2.46%)102.17-109.0435
2Sep_17_2020-17.9%-26.3% -0.8%,-0.1(-0)-6.4%,-1.1(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.1-0.9-0.11%-4.6%-1.5-1.6-0.5(5.71%,2.89%)2.1178.66   110.41(-1.53%)108.71-112.2Downtrend 108.11(-2.08%)106.31-112.337
3Sep_16_2020-16.6%-28.2% -0.5%,-0.1(-0.1)-5.8%,-1.1(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.20.3-0.08%-3.2%-1.3-1.6-0.8(5.44%,2.53%)1.4154.59   112.12(-2.96%)112.04-116Downtrend 110.01(-1.88%)108.46-113.6437
4Sep_15_2020-14.1%-34.7% -0%,-0(0)-4.7%,-0.9(0)0.5%,0.10.3-0.94%-1.7%-0.9-1-1.1(5.26%,2.66%)0.8185.27   115.54(0.2%)113.61-118.83Downtrend 114.15(-1.2%)113.11-116.642
5Sep_14_2020-14.2%-34.5% -0.1%,-0(-0.1)-4.8%,-0.9(-0.1)-1%,-0.2-0.60.35%-0.6%-0.9-1-1.1(5.3%,2.71%)0.8138.81   115.3(2.86%)112.8-115.93Downtrend 113.48(-1.58%)112.24-116.3741
 
6Sep_11_2020-16.6%-33.5% 0.3%,0.1(-0.1)-4.3%,-0.8(-0.2)-1.5%,-0.3-0.60.36%0.2%-1.4-1.1-1.3(5.31%,2.48%)0.1179.95   112.09(-1.21%)110-115.23Correction 104.88(-6.43%)103.75-109.4139
7Sep_10_2020-15.6%-35.1% 0.8%,0.1(-0.2)-3.1%,-0.6(-0.4)-3%,-0.6-0-1.07%1.1%-1.3-0.8-1.5(5.16%,3.12%)-0.7181.11   113.47(-3.3%)112.5-120.5Correction 107.44(-5.31%)106.45-111.4249
8Sep_9_2020-12.7%-39.7% 1.8%,0.3(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.2(-0.4)-2.8%,-0.5-1.2-0.08%2.2%-0.7-0.5-1.6(5.18%,2.92%)-0.7175.91   117.34(4.08%)115.26-119.14Correction 113.82(-3%)113.09-116.7356
9Sep_8_2020-16.2%-35.2% 2.6%,0.5(-0.2)1.4%,0.2(-0.4)-2.6%,-0.5-2.4-0.98%3.1%-1.2-1-1.2(5.58%,4.03%)-1.2228.17   112.74(-6.91%)112.68-118.99Uptrend Consolidation 115.07(2.07%)115.57-113.5852
10Sep_4_2020-9.9%-50.3% 3.6%,0.6(-0.1)3.8%,0.7(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.1-2.71.21%4.3%-00.3-0.5(5.71%,3.14%)-1.1330.42   121.11(0.09%)110.89-123.7Uptrend Consolidation 121.74(0.52%)121.11-123.6463
 
11Sep_3_2020-10%-50.2% 4%,0.7(-0.2)4.9%,0.8(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.1-0.9-0.39%5%00.1-0.2(5.84%,3.43%)-2.4251.75   121(-8.04%)120.5-128.84Uptrend Dip 128.91(6.54%)121-130.8962
12Sep_2_2020-2.1%-63.3% 5%,0.8(-0.1)5.7%,0.9(0)0.8%,0.11.20.12%5.2%1.51.30(6.11%,2.92%)0.2199.08   131.58(-2.14%)127-137.98Uptrend 136.49(3.73%)129.17-139.6281
13Sep_1_20200%-67.1% 5.4%,0.9(-0.1)5.6%,0.9(0)1.5%,0.31.20.13%4.8%2.12.2-0.2(5.98%,2.36%)0153.25   134.46(4.2%)130.53-134.8Overbought 130.12(-3.23%)121.59-142.989
14Aug_31_20200%-60.4% 5.8%,1.1(-0.1)5.4%,1(-0)0.5%,0.10.30%4.4%1.71.8-0.4(5.47%,2.71%)0.1157.94   129.04(3.39%)126-131Uptrend 133.3(3.3%)126.75-136.189
15Aug_28_2020-1.4%-57% 6.3%,1.2(-0.1)5.4%,1(-0.1)0.1%,000%4%1.20.9-0.1(5.39%,N/A%)0.8187.63   124.81(-0.16%)124.58-126.44Uptrend 129.25(3.56%)123.13-131.8774
 
16Aug_27_2020-1.2%-57.3% 7%,1.1(0)5.9%,0.9(0.1)1.1%,0.200%4%1.210.4(6.29%,N/A%)0.7155.55   125.01(-1.19%)123.83-127.49Uptrend 131.09(4.86%)123.24-134.4576
17Aug_26_20200%-59.8% 7%,1(0.1)5.4%,0.8(0.1)1.8%,0.30.30%4.4%1.51.30.7(7.04%,N/A%)1.3163.02   126.52(1.35%)125.08-126.99Uptrend 133.26(5.33%)124.07-137.2170
18Aug_25_2020-0.8%-57.7% 6.5%,0.8(0.1)4.7%,0.6(0.1)1.5%,0.21.20%4.6%1.41.20.9(7.6%,N/A%)1.6211.5   124.83(-0.82%)123.05-125.18Growing Uptrend 132.32(6%)122.46-134.7974
19Aug_24_20200%-59% 5.9%,0.8(0.1)3.9%,0.5(0.1)1.9%,0.21.20%4.7%1.61.51.1(7.89%,N/A%)1.7345.94   125.86(1.2%)123.94-128.79Uptrend 131.57(4.54%)122.88-135.2976
20Aug_21_20200%-57.1% 5.3%,0.7(0.1)3.2%,0.4(0.1)1.6%,0.20.60%4.9%1.61.51.3(8.06%,N/A%)1.7338.05   124.37(5.15%)119.25-124.87Uptrend 129.08(3.79%)121.36-132.3976
 
21Aug_20_20200%-49.4% 4.7%,0.6(0)2.7%,0.3(-0.2)0.6%,0.10.30%5.2%1.10.81.4(8.1%,N/A%)1.5126.91   118.28(2.22%)115.73-118.39Uptrend Consolidation 116.16(-1.79%)113.97-122.7574
22Aug_19_20200%-47.8% 4.5%,0.6(0)4%,0.5(-0.1)0.5%,0.100%6%10.61.4(8.09%,N/A%)1.6145.54   115.71(0.13%)115.61-117.16Uptrend Consolidation 114.15(-1.35%)111.97-120.782
23Aug_18_20200%-47.6% 4.4%,0.5(0)5.1%,0.6(-0.1)1.1%,0.100%6.4%1.10.51.5(8.11%,N/A%)1.6105.63   115.56(0.83%)114.01-116Uptrend Consolidation 114.23(-1.15%)111.81-121.583
24Aug_17_2020-0.3%-46.4% 4.1%,0.5(-0)6%,0.8(-0.2)0.3%,00.30%6.7%1.10.61.6(8.02%,N/A%)1.8119.56   114.61(-0.26%)113.96-116.09Uptrend Consolidation 113.04(-1.37%)110.48-120.7384
25Aug_14_2020-0.1%-49.4% 4.2%,0.5(0)7.3%,0.9(-0.1)0.7%,0.10.60%7.1%1.20.61.9(7.95%,N/A%)1.8165.57   114.91(-0.09%)113.05-115Uptrend Consolidation 113.58(-1.16%)110.8-121.9280
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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