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     Wed. Oct. 28, 2020



Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Oct. 28, 2020)

(American Airlines Group Inc)

AAL latest price $11.0250 (-1.87%) ($10.6300 - $11.1600) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  AAL declines -2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  AAL declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support AAL decline at-1.4% a week (71% probability)
  JETS(89%)    XAR(73%)    IWN(62%)    XLI(62%)    XLF(60%)  
Factors Impacting AAL price  AAL will advance at least 0.4% in a week (26% probabilities).
  TLT(-34%)    BND(-24%)    SHY(-23%)    IGOV(-23%)    GBTC(-23%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2
 
Relative Volatility   0.9 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   -1.5
Hourly Trend   -4.86% [$11.16(-0.49), $11.73(-0.51)]
Last Hour Trend   0.18% [$11.04, $11.02]


AAL Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  10%
Bullish Price Move  3.5%
Bearish Probability  90%
Bearish Price Move  -3.5%
Recommended Position Size  -23%
Latest Price  $11.0250
Next Day Open Price  $11.06(0.36%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $10.97(-0.51%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $10.85 - $11.28
Resistance Level  $12.51
5 Day Moving Average  $11.96(-7.82%)
10 Day Moving Average  $12.23(-9.85%)
20 Day Moving Average  $12.51(-11.87%)
To recent high  -21.3%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $5.607b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Jan. 28, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $11.16 ($1.00 - $27.00)
  16 analysts (last updated on Thu. Oct. 22, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  1.22%
% to Low Target Price  -90.93%
% to High Target Price  144.9%
 


  
 
 


American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.64% (three month std-dev: 3.45%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. AAL price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_28_2020-21.2%-0-0.8%,-0.2(-0.2)-3.3%,-0.7(-0.2)-2.8%,-0.6-30.18%-2.2%-2.6-1.5-21.3NAN%-2.756.72   11.03(-1.87%)10.63-11.16Growing Downtrend 10.97(-0.51%)10.85-11.2927
2Oct_27_2020-19.7%-1.30%,0(-0.2)-2.4%,-0.6(-0.3)-2.5%,-0.6-3.6-0.35%-1.7%-2.8-2.5-2.61.1NAN%-0.664.92   11.24(-4.83%)11.2-11.79Correction 10.88(-3.24%)10.81-11.1330
3Oct_26_2020-15.7%-6.4% 0.7%,0.2(-0.2)-1.3%,-0.4(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.4-2.10.17%-1.2%-2.2-1.7-1.80.9NAN%-0.284.9   11.81(-6.31%)11.67-12.45Correction 11.6(-1.74%)11.56-11.7744
4Oct_23_2020-10%-13.6% 1.3%,0.5(0.1)-0.8%,-0.3(0)0.2%,0.10.30.4%-0.7%-0.31.6-0.60.8NAN%0.891.59   12.6(-4.11%)12.42-13.08N/A 12.63(0.22%)12.6-12.6544
5Oct_22_2020-6.2%-18.4% 0.9%,0.3(0.3)-0.8%,-0.3(0.1)1.4%,0.50.60.91%-0.2%1.21.40.90.9NAN%0.690.25   13.14(3.1%)12.42-13.29N/A 13.02(-0.93%)12.87-13.1451
 
6Oct_21_2020-9%-14.9% -0.2%,-0.1(0.3)-1.2%,-0.4(-0.1)0.6%,0.20.90%0.3%0.32.10.11NAN%0.137.15   12.75(-0.47%)12.55-12.87Downtrend 12.72(-0.27%)12.71-12.7354
7Oct_20_2020-8.5%-15.5% -1%,-0.3(0.2)-1%,-0.3(0.1)0.9%,0.31.5-0.23%0.9%0.62.40.21NAN%0.246.35   12.81(1.95%)12.59-13Rebound 12.65(-1.21%)12.77-12.6158
8Oct_19_2020-10.3%-13.2% -1.6%,-0.5(0.1)-1.3%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.20.9-0.56%0.8%01.8-0.31NAN%1.250.24   12.56(0.76%)12.45-12.87Downtrend Pop 12.55(-0.1%)12.56-12.5256
9Oct_16_2020-11%-12.4% -1.8%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.8%,-0.2(-0.3)-1.2%,-0.3-0.30.48%1.4%-0.2-1.5-1.11NAN%0.932.58   12.47(1.96%)12.2-12.56Downtrend 12.43(-0.33%)12.41-12.4848
10Oct_15_2020-12.7%-10.2% -1.4%,-0.4(-0.2)0.4%,0.1(-0.4)-1.4%,-0.4-1.20.33%1.4%-0.7-1.7-1.71.1NAN%0.733.49   12.23(-1.01%)11.97-12.3N/A 12.29(0.53%)12.16-12.452
 
11Oct_14_2020-11.8%-11.3% -0.8%,-0.2(-0.1)1.8%,0.4(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.3-2.1-0.32%1.3%-0.5-2.4-1.61.1NAN%0.937.37   12.35(1.02%)12.29-12.57N/A 12.45(0.85%)12.39-12.5160
12Oct_13_2020-12.7%-10.2% -0.2%,-0.1(0)2.8%,0.6(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.1-1.5-0.57%0.8%-0.9-3.2-2.21.1NAN%0.962.73   12.23(-5.42%)12.2-12.64N/A 12.43(1.66%)12.35-12.556
13Oct_12_2020-7.7%-16.5% -0.3%,-0.1(0)3%,0.7(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.10-0.08%0.5%0.3-0.6-1.21.1NAN%1.339.25   12.93(-2.08%)12.9-13.17N/A 12.96(0.24%)12.85-13.0557
14Oct_9_2020-5.7%-19% -0.3%,-0.1(0.1)3.7%,0.9(0.2)0.3%,0.10.9-0.3%0.3%0.8-0.1-0.21NAN%1.164.8   13.2(0.3%)12.95-13.49Uptrend Reversal 13.38(1.35%)13.23-13.4861
15Oct_8_2020-6%-18.6% -0.5%,-0.1(0.1)2.9%,0.7(0.4)0.9%,0.20.60.3%-0.3%0.80.3-0.11NAN%1.188.2   13.16(0.65%)12.73-13.68Uptrend Reversal 13.34(1.33%)13.19-13.4349
 
16Oct_7_2020-6.6%-17.9% -0.9%,-0.2(0.1)1.1%,0.3(0.5)1.3%,0.3-00.15%-1.3%0.60.601NAN%0.760.74   13.08(4.43%)12.81-13.18Uptrend Reversal 13.25(1.33%)13.11-13.3544
17Oct_6_2020-10.6%-12.8% -1.3%,-0.3(-0)-1%,-0.2(0.2)0.4%,0.10.6-1.55%-2.1%-0.40.9-0.71NAN%0.384.49   12.52(-4.57%)12.46-13.44Rebound 12.62(0.79%)12.46-12.6937
18Oct_5_2020-6.3%-18.3% -1.2%,-0.3(0)-1.8%,-0.4(0.3)0.6%,0.11.20.53%-2.7%0.61.40.21.1NAN%0.553.18   13.12(0.88%)12.75-13.2Downtrend Consolidation 13.04(-0.61%)12.97-13.0649
19Oct_2_2020-7.1%-17.3% -1.3%,-0.3(0.1)-2.9%,-0.6(0.1)1.1%,0.20.90.16%-3.6%0.31.70.41.1NAN%0.7111.12   13.01(3.5%)12-13.35Downtrend Consolidation 12.93(-0.58%)12.95-12.9347
20Oct_1_2020-10.2%-13.3% -1.6%,-0.3(0)-3.4%,-0.7(0.1)1.3%,0.3-0-0.16%-3.7%-0.41.7-0.81.1NAN%0.948.33   12.57(2.2%)12.35-12.77Downtrend 12.48(-0.68%)12.42-12.6347
 
21Sep_30_2020-12.2%-10.9% -1.8%,-0.4(0)-3.7%,-0.8(-0)0.6%,0.1-0.3-0.97%-3.2%-0.9-0.7-1.21.1NAN%0.864.83   12.3(0.33%)12.22-12.92Downtrend 12.23(-0.57%)12.16-12.444
22Sep_29_2020-12.5%-10.5% -2%,-0.4(0)-3.6%,-0.8(0.1)-0.1%,-01.50.16%-2.4%-1.1-0.6-1.11.1NAN%0.946.8   12.26(-3.88%)12.11-12.66Downtrend 12.18(-0.65%)12.09-12.3943
23Sep_28_2020-9%-14.9% -2.1%,-0.5(-0.1)-3.9%,-0.9(0.2)0.8%,0.21.5-0.47%-2.1%-0.42.1-0.31NAN%0.963.23   12.75(3.74%)12.49-13.15Downtrend Consolidation 12.69(-0.5%)12.83-12.6441
24Sep_25_2020-12.2%-10.8% -1.9%,-0.4(-0.1)-4.6%,-1(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.3-0.90.74%-2.1%-1.2-0.6-0.81NAN%1.141.13   12.29(4.46%)11.71-12.31Downtrend 12.19(-0.79%)12.1-12.4136
25Sep_24_2020-16%-6.1% -1.2%,-0.3(-0.2)-4.2%,-1(-0.3)-2.9%,-0.7-1.2-0.17%-1.8%-2.3-0.8-1.61NAN%1.249.3   11.77(-1.34%)11.22-12Growing Downtrend 11.71(-0.52%)11.59-1233
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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