Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 29, 2020

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $12.2550 (-3.88%) ($12.1100 - $12.6600) on Tue. Sep. 29, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.2% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $12.2550(-3.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(76%)    PEJ(62%)    IWN(53%)    XAR(53%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -2.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-22%)    VXX(-11%)    TLT(-8%)    EDOC(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.1% (StdDev 4.2%)
Hourly BBV -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $3.64(-70.3%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $12.9
5 Day Moving Average   $12.2(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.59(-2.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.9(-5%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $6.232b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.57% (three month std-dev: 4.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 1.44%(41%) Average negative next day return: -2.33%(59%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 3.69%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -4.28%(63%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 4.9%(34%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.24%(66%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2020	12.79	12.9	12.59	12.2	12.24	12.55	12.26(-3.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	190	1	-50	46.8	86%	0.16	-43.5	4.2%	-0.4	-1.1	43	0.9
2	Sep_28_2020	12.77	12.95	12.68	12.21	12.19	12.47	12.75(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	160	11	-50	63.23	86%	0.24	-47.5	4.29%	1.3	-0.4	41	0.7
3	Sep_25_2020	12.74	12.99	12.72	12.11	12.08	11.92	12.29(4.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-100	-7	-66	41.13	86%	0.16	-41.7	4.33%	0.9	-1.2	36	0.6
4	Sep_24_2020	12.72	13.04	12.8	12.29	12.13	11.91	11.77(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-170	-20	-66	49.3	84%	0.24	-28.4	4.29%	-0.9	-2.3	33	0.3
5	Sep_23_2020	12.69	13.1	12.93	12.66	12.52	12.23	11.93(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-200	-17	-46	44.87	84%	0.16	-11.5	4.38%	-2.2	-2.4	37	0.1

6	Sep_22_2020	12.67	13.17	13.05	13.04	12.91	12.36	12.34(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-16	-330	-13	-24	32.56	84%	0.24	18.4	4.42%	-0.5	-2.1	43	0.7
7	Sep_21_2020	12.64	13.22	13.19	13.2	13.24	12.82	12.22(-7.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-15	-210	-16	-11	60.07	84%	0.16	44.9	4.5%	-1.4	-2.9	42	0.8
8	Sep_18_2020	12.62	13.23	13.34	13.42	13.46	13.47	13.22(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	2	10	-0	8	56.13	100%	0.08	46.3	4.42%	-1.4	-0	45	1.1
9	Sep_17_2020	12.61	13.2	13.35	13.37	13.44	13.66	13.63(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	130	8	9	49.98	100%	0.08	30.5	4.41%	0.2	1.1	55	1.1
10	Sep_16_2020	12.6	13.15	13.31	13.24	13.25	13.45	13.81(5.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	110	9	7	75.02	100%	0.24	11.8	4.41%	1.6	1.7	65	0.7

11	Sep_15_2020	12.57	13.09	13.24	13.09	13.12	13.22	13.15(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	60	-1	-6	38.67	100%	0.24	-12.4	4.37%	0.3	0.2	51	0.6
12	Sep_14_2020	12.54	13.09	13.23	13.18	13.09	13.06	13.29(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-40	-3	-5	39.64	100%	0.24	-21.1	4.37%	1.1	0.6	48	0.6
13	Sep_11_2020	12.51	13.07	13.26	13.25	13.2	13.02	12.96(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-110	-5	11	43.81	77%	0.24	-13.1	4.8%	-1.2	-0.3	62	0.3
14	Sep_10_2020	12.48	13.08	13.29	13.34	13.35	13.12	13.02(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-120	-4	21	52.21	77%	0.16	-4.4	5.16%	-0.8	-0.2	58	-0.6
15	Sep_9_2020	12.46	13.11	13.28	13.38	13.35	13.38	13.04(-4.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10	-2	25	78.79	77%	0.24	9.6	5.25%	-0.8	-0.2	56	-0.4

16	Sep_8_2020	12.43	13.14	13.29	13.39	13.43	13.57	13.63(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	11	80	4	32	70.79	77%	0.24	33.9	5.33%	0.7	1.1	62	-1.2
17	Sep_4_2020	12.4	13.15	13.26	13.28	13.32	13.49	13.63(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	100	2	31	64.52	87%	0.24	55.3	5.6%	1	1.1	62	-1.6
18	Sep_3_2020	12.37	13.12	13.12	13.27	13.25	13.29	13.38(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	20	1	17	85.33	87%	0.08	78.7	7.58%	0.3	0.6	50	-3.2
19	Sep_2_2020	12.36	13.1	13.04	13.25	13.26	13.15	13.23(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-60	1	12	58.38	87%	0.08	94.5	7.6%	1.1	0.3	50	-1.3
20	Sep_1_2020	12.35	13.07	12.99	13.16	13.35	13.2	13.11(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-40	-1	4	72.69	87%	0.16	82	7.6%	-0.9	0.1	46	-1

21	Aug_31_2020	12.33	13	12.94	13.17	13.27	13.37	13.06(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	80	-2	-3	45.51	87%	0	65.3	7.63%	-1.3	0.1	43	-0.6
22	Aug_28_2020	12.33	12.91	12.9	13.24	13.28	13.5	13.59(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	130	8	-4	54.18	87%	0.08	58.8	7.63%	1	0.9	44	0.5
23	Aug_27_2020	12.32	12.79	12.86	12.96	13.19	13.18	13.29(4.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	50	5	-13	108.04	87%	0.16	44.3	7.71%	0.7	0.6	53	0.5
24	Aug_26_2020	12.3	12.69	12.85	12.8	12.89	13.07	12.77(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	120	-0	-19	43.8	89%	0.24	34.7	7.75%	-1.1	0.1	49	1
25	Aug_25_2020	12.27	12.63	12.92	12.78	12.79	13.21	13.14(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	230	6	-12	78.93	89%		33.9	7.92%	0.5	0.6	58	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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