Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSFT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 22, 2024

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Apr. 22, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $400.3000 (0.3%) ($400.3000 - $400.3000) on Mon. Apr. 22, 2024.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $400.3000(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(78%)    IVW(72%)    SMH(71%)    XBI(71%)    IWO(69%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-93%)    VXX(-83%)    GLD(-69%)    GDX(-62%)    GDXJ(-61%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV -0.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $418
5 Day Moving Average   $406.42(-1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $413.83(-3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $418(-4.23%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $3030.671b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 1.07%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.21%(54%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 1.95%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.16%(37%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 2.64%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.79%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2024	400.45	418	413.83	406.42	404.05	399.54	400.3(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-178	-100	-181	-168	13.82	51%	0.07	-58.2	1.26%	-0.3	-2.2	33	-1.1
2	Apr_19_2024	400.18	419.5	416.35	409.12	407.85	401.55	399.1(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-347	-120	-385	-234	22.47	53%	0.05	-47.7	1.26%	-1.5	-2.8	29	-2.3
3	Apr_18_2024	399.97	421.1	419.2	413.59	411.6	408.57	404.4(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-303	-70	-342	-185	20.42	54%	0.07	-35.9	1.26%	-1.9	-2.8	37	-1.6
4	Apr_17_2024	399.71	422.19	420.74	418.38	415.89	414.15	412.81(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-110	-50	-122	-72	12.64	57%	0.08	-9.2	1.24%	-1.3	-2	43	-2
5	Apr_16_2024	399.39	422.66	421.61	420.49	419.78	414.64	415.49(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-153	-90	-177	-82	12.99	57%	0.1	10.4	1.23%	-0.8	-1.8	44	-2.2

6	Apr_15_2024	399.01	422.83	422.27	422.43	421.74	417.63	413.78(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-318	-70	-374	-150	13.9	57%	0.1	40.2	1.23%	-2.2	-2.3	41	-3
7	Apr_12_2024	398.63	423.06	423.46	424.63	424.59	424.92	421.48(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	10	-63	-16	13.31	60%	0.06	75.3	1.22%	-0.8	-0.4	40	-2.8
8	Apr_11_2024	398.39	423.24	423.48	425.6	425.42	425.85	428.35(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	76	10	87	42	12.77	62%	0.13	103.5	1.2%	2	1.4	46	1
9	Apr_10_2024	397.86	422.6	422.72	423.49	424.92	424.27	423.35(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	3	-0	7	-8	12.41	64%	0.13	100	1.2%	-0.7	0.2	48	-0.4
10	Apr_9_2024	397.33	422.22	422.58	422.92	423.52	424.99	425.18(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	30	8	-10	9.38	64%	0.13	103.1	1.22%	-0.5	0.7	56	-0.3

11	Apr_8_2024	396.82	421.25	422.33	422.14	422.35	425.57	424.79(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	137	50	165	53	9.5	66%	0.15	63.2	1.22%	0.4	0.6	60	-0.3
12	Apr_5_2024	396.24	420.39	422.67	422.17	421.47	422.06	426.34(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	112	0	132	52	12.19	66%	0.13	50	1.23%	0.5	0.9	63	-1.1
13	Apr_4_2024	395.71	419.55	422.9	421.14	421.12	419.13	417.81(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-84	-30	-98	-41	19.27	64%	0.13	41.8	1.21%	-1.1	-0.3	42	-0.4
14	Apr_3_2024	395.2	418.87	423.63	421.82	422.01	420.88	420.48(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-80	-20	-98	-27	11.71	64%	0.13	36.3	1.21%	-0.7	0.2	57	0.4
15	Apr_2_2024	394.68	418.05	423.75	422.12	422.19	423.11	421.29(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	20	-6	18	11.88	62%	0.15	32.2	1.21%	-0.1	0.4	58	0.3

16	Apr_1_2024	394.1	417.73	423.45	422.46	422.33	423.14	424.93(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	82	10	85	71	11.17	62%	0.23	37.7	1.22%	1.1	0.9	71	0.7
17	Mar_28_2024	393.18	417.22	422.69	423.32	421.84	421.28	421.21(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-41	-20	-65	30	10.77	62%	0.16	46.1	1.22%	-0.2	0.5	66	1.1
18	Mar_27_2024	392.57	416.79	423.07	425.02	423.81	421.52	421.21(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-56	-50	-91	49	11.19	62%	0.16	51.5	1.22%	-1.4	0.5	62	1.6
19	Mar_26_2024	391.93	416.12	422.58	425.71	425.94	422.41	421.97(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-116	-60	-168	39	16.61	62%	0.17	56.8	1.22%	-1	0.7	68	1.4
20	Mar_25_2024	391.25	415.39	421.97	425.51	426.64	426.11	422.99(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-73	-0	-121	73	11.99	62%	0.19	60.3	1.22%	-1.4	0.9	68	1.8

21	Mar_22_2024	390.52	414.61	420.25	424.4	426.15	429.47	429.22(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	177	70	177	176	10.39	64%	0.22	59.7	1.21%	0.7	1.8	59	1.8
22	Mar_21_2024	389.68	413.6	417.99	421.93	423.19	427.18	429.71(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	244	70	263	187	14.35	64%	0.22	59.6	1.21%	1.4	2.2	59	1.9
23	Mar_20_2024	388.81	412.62	415.87	421	419.98	422.83	424.66(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	151	40	156	136	12.31	64%	0.23	64	1.2%	2.3	1.8	58	1.6
24	Mar_19_2024	387.92	411.45	413.65	419.12	420.09	419.2	421(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	122	-10	127	108	13.11	64%	0.22	55.4	1.2%	1	1.5	60	1.6
25	Mar_18_2024	387.05	410.48	411.83	417.95	418.65	417.13	417.41(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-104	-20	-135	-9	13.03	64%		43	1.2%	-0.2	1.1	59	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD