Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 19, 2024

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 19, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $176.2600 (-1.65%) ($176.2600 - $176.2600) on Fri. Apr. 19, 2024.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $176.2600(-1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SMH(91%)    QQQ(90%)    IVW(85%)    XBI(67%)    SPY(62%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-57%)    TLT(-41%)    IVE(-21%)    VIXM(-13%)    IWN(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $182.2
5 Day Moving Average   $180.85(-2.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $183.43(-3.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $182.2(-3.26%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $88.306b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 1.46%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(50%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 2.79%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -2.33%(53%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 4.72%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.82%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2024	165.86	182.2	183.43	180.85	180.12	177.67	176.26(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-108	-110	-122	-65	16.28	62%	0.19	30.9	1.68%	0	-1.9	44	-1.9
2	Apr_18_2024	165.54	182.35	184.4	182.78	181.93	180.25	179.22(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-93	-80	-113	-32	30.64	62%	0.21	50	1.67%	-1.7	-1	50	-1.6
3	Apr_17_2024	165.2	182.33	184.59	184.77	183.63	182.58	181.42(-1.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-53	-60	-73	7	25.65	62%	0.22	71	1.66%	-1.5	-0.3	56	-2
4	Apr_16_2024	164.84	182.1	184.73	185.71	185.6	183.61	183.74(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-25	-80	-45	36	26.98	62%	0.22	73.7	1.66%	-0.9	0.5	65	-2.2
5	Apr_15_2024	164.47	181.66	184.46	186.03	186.2	184.69	183.63(-1.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-68	-50	-98	21	47.96	62%	0.24	73.2	1.67%	-1.9	0.5	60	-3

6	Apr_12_2024	164.08	181.22	184.24	186.38	186.67	187.6	185.9(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	40	0	69	30.94	62%	0.14	70.9	1.67%	-0.8	1.2	67	-2.8
7	Apr_11_2024	163.85	180.84	183.72	186.24	186.54	187.71	189.16(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	96	50	91	111	32.51	65%	0.28	75	1.65%	2.2	2.2	79	1
8	Apr_10_2024	163.4	180.18	182.76	184.42	185.51	185.74	186.12(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	30	44	77	29.76	65%	0.27	74.1	1.64%	0.1	1.7	75	-0.4
9	Apr_9_2024	162.96	179.64	182	183.63	183.99	185.37	185.35(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	60	23	65	28.42	65%	0.25	74.3	1.65%	-0.8	1.8	78	-0.3
10	Apr_8_2024	162.55	178.98	181.41	182.67	183.19	185.29	185.39(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	107	90	109	100	29.57	67%	0.27	56.8	1.65%	0.7	1.9	80	-0.3

11	Apr_5_2024	162.12	178.45	180.75	181.79	181.99	182.62	185.19(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	73	30	70	83	34.97	67%	0.27	50	1.68%	0.8	2.2	80	-1.1
12	Apr_4_2024	161.68	178	180.01	180.87	180.94	181.1	180.05(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	10	-10	42	40.87	61%	0.24	49.3	1.65%	-0.5	0.8	54	-0.4
13	Apr_3_2024	161.29	177.69	179.84	180.84	181.08	181.36	182.15(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	10	35	63	21.92	61%	0.24	49	1.68%	1.2	1.7	65	0.4
14	Apr_2_2024	160.91	177.28	179.23	180.1	180.35	180.78	180.58(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	11	47	23.57	61%	0.25	44.5	1.68%	0	1.3	65	0.3
15	Apr_1_2024	160.51	177.11	178.64	179.93	179.79	180.79	180.99(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	40	36	60	22.09	61%	0.38	50.4	1.7%	0.6	1.6	73	0.7

16	Mar_28_2024	159.91	176.95	178	179.53	179.32	179.92	180.59(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	20	43	58	25.37	61%	0.25	58.3	1.7%	1.2	1.6	61	1.1
17	Mar_27_2024	159.51	176.73	177.75	179.05	178.92	178.79	179.89(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10	9	43	33.19	61%	0.25	57.1	1.7%	-0.6	1.4	55	1.6
18	Mar_26_2024	159.12	176.39	177.4	178.7	178.65	178.72	178.45(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	0	-5	39	28.98	61%	0.26	63.7	1.7%	-0.5	0.9	60	1.4
19	Mar_25_2024	158.71	176.14	177.12	178.19	178.61	179.04	179.72(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	20	34	53	29.78	61%	0.27	73.6	1.7%	0.9	1.7	61	1.8
20	Mar_22_2024	158.28	175.88	176.36	177.14	177.82	178.58	178.98(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	40	38	33	17.88	61%	0.27	76.1	1.71%	0.6	1.6	51	1.8

21	Mar_21_2024	157.86	175.65	175.97	176.24	176.67	178.17	178.19(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	70	49	22	32.33	61%	0.27	81.1	1.71%	0.9	1.4	49	1.9
22	Mar_20_2024	157.43	175.47	175.8	176.29	175.71	177.06	178.17(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	40	56	26	23.39	61%	0.3	74	1.71%	3.5	1.2	52	1.6
23	Mar_19_2024	156.96	175.01	175.35	175.96	175.79	175.18	175.92(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-30	22	10	20.43	61%	0.29	58.4	1.71%	0.8	0.3	56	1.6
24	Mar_18_2024	156.51	174.58	175.17	175.91	175.93	174.36	174.43(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-60	-62	-23	30.81	63%	0.31	48.2	1.71%	-0.9	-0.1	53	1.3
25	Mar_15_2024	156.02	174.38	175.47	175.41	176.25	176.4	174.47(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	20	-22	-7	72.1	65%		34.5	1.74%	-1.2	0	50	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD